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Bitcoin is the apex asset. There isn't a close second place. I charted the 2-year moving average of Bitcoin, gold, and SPY from Jan. 1, 2020 to May 22, 2026. The results are disgusting. Bitcoin 2Y MA: +1,073% Gold 2Y MA: +157% SPY 2Y MA: +118% Bitcoin’s smoothed long-term trend vaporized them. BTC’s cumulative 2Y moving-average return was roughly 6.8x gold’s return and 9.1x SPY’s return. Gold did its job. It protected purchasing power better than most fiat garbage. SPY did what corporate America does, climbed the liquidity escalator while everyone pretended earnings growth wasn’t being embalmed by monetary debasement. But Bitcoin was the actual escape vehicle. Bitcoin volatility is loud. Fiat decay is quiet. The 2-year moving average strips away the noise and shows you the signal: Bitcoin is repricing the world slowly, then violently, then permanently.
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May 8 Options Expiration Data 20,000 BTC options are expiring, with a put-call ratio of 0.73, a max pain point of $79,500, and a notional value of $1.6 billion. 182,000 ETH options are expiring, with a put-call ratio of 0.93, a max pain point of $2,350, and a notional value of $410 million. This week, Bitcoin rose steadily from $75,000 to $82,000 before pulling back last night. Despite the positive price action, market sentiment has remained relatively calm. Major-term options and short-term implied volatility (IV) remained unchanged from last week, while short-term IV saw a slight increase. Bitcoin’s primary short-term IV hovers around 35%, while ETH’s primary short-term IV is near 50%; both medium- and long-term IVs have also seen modest declines. Looking at key options data, Skew remains relatively stable with a very slight increase, and the market’s directional sentiment remains neutral. Only 5% of options expire this week, with extremely low options activity and futures trading volume at historic lows. Open interest stood at approximately 20% at the end of May and 30% at the end of June, while block trades have been relatively inactive—all of which are signals of a consolidation phase. In the second quarter of this year, Bitcoin performed well in terms of both price and market sentiment, but overall market enthusiasm remains subdued. Currently, the focus is primarily on Bitcoin trading, and it makes sense to position for some medium- to long-term options. Additionally, investing in some high-quality altcoins appears to offer good value for money.
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THE SCHWAB US DIVIDEND ETF $SCHD Here is every stock held by the Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF $SCHD and how much of the fund it represents Texas Instruments $TXN - 6.08% Qualcomm $QCOM - 5.49% UnitedHealth Group $UNH - 5.46% Coca-Cola $KO - 4.12% Chevron $CVX - 4.01% Merck & Co $MRK - 3.77% ConocoPhillips $COP - 3.75% Verizon $VZ - 3.67% PepsiCo $PEP - 3.62% Procter & Gamble $PG - 3.60% Amgen $AMGN - 3.54% Home Depot $HD - 3.29% Altria Group $MO - 3.13% Abbott Laboratories $ABT - 3.00% Bristol Myers Squibb $BMY - 2.97% Lockheed Martin $LMT - 2.71% Accenture $ACN - 2.59% Blackstone $BX - 2.36% Comcast $CMCSA - 2.32% Automatic Data Processing $ADP - 2.16% SLB $SLB - 2.14% EOG Resources $EOG - 1.90% United Parcel Service $UPS - 1.87% ONEOK $OKE - 1.47% Ford Motor $F - 1.46% Target $TGT - 1.43% Devon Energy $DVN - 1.40% Fastenal $FAST - 1.30% Fifth Third Bancorp $FITB - 1.10% Archer Daniels Midland $ADM - 1.01% Kimberly-Clark $KMB - 0.83% Paychex $PAYX - 0.74% Hershey $HSY - 0.73% Ares Management $ARES - 0.68% Cincinnati Financial $CINF - 0.66% Regions Financial $RF - 0.60% Darden Restaurants $DRI - 0.58% T. Rowe Price $TROW - 0.58% Principal Financial Group $PFG - 0.51% Snap-on $SNA - 0.49% General Mills $GIS - 0.45% Broadridge Financial BR - 0.43% East West Bancorp EWBC - 0.43% Watsco WSO - 0.37% APA Corp APA - 0.34% Fidelity National Financial FNF - 0.31% Best Buy BBY - 0.28% HF Sinclair DINO - 0.28% Skyworks Solutions SWKS - 0.26% American Financial Group AFG - 0.24% Old Republic International ORI - 0.23% Booz Allen Hamilton BAH - 0.23% Columbia Banking System COLB - 0.22% Autoliv ALV - 0.21% Nexstar Media Group NXST - 0.14% Erie Indemnity ERIE - 0.14% Murphy Oil MUR - 0.13% Bank OZK OZK - 0.13% MSC Industrial MSM - 0.13% Macy's M - 0.13% Moelis MC - 0.12% Vail Resorts MTN - 0.11% Federated Hermes FHI - 0.11% Korn Ferry KFY - 0.09% Penske Automotive PAG - 0.08% Western Union WU - 0.07% Artisan Partners APAM - 0.07% CVB Financial CVBF - 0.06% Robert Half RHI - 0.06% Banner Corp BANR - 0.06% Cohen & Steers CNS - 0.05% OFG Bancorp OFG - 0.05% National Bank Holdings NBHC - 0.05% City Holding$CHCO - 0.05% Federal Agricultural Mortgage AGM - 0.04% S&T Bancorp STBA - 0.04% Inter Parfums IPAR - 0.04% German American Bancorp GABC - 0.04% Flowers Foods FLO - 0.04% Buckle BKE - 0.04% Lakeland Financial LKFN - 0.04% 1st Source Corp SRCE - 0.03% Clearway Energy CWEN - 0.03% Wendy's WEN - 0.03% Insperity NSP - 0.03% Preferred Bank PFBC - 0.03% CNA Financial CNA - 0.02% Central Pacific Financial CPF - 0.02% Virtus Investment Partners VRTS - 0.02% Hanmi Financial HAFC - 0.02% First Financial Corp THFF - 0.02% Orrstown Financial Services ORRF - 0.02% Independent Bank Corp IBCP - 0.02% Capital City Bank CCBG - 0.02% Amerisafe AMSF - 0.01% Oxford Industries OXM - 0.01% Ennis EBF - 0.01% Ethan Allen Interiors ETD - 0.01%
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