CLARITY Act needs at least 7 Dem votes in the Senate (assuming all 53 Reps vote in favor). GENIUS Act got 18 Dem votes last year. Prediction mkt odds are ~70%.
Let's do this!
More detail in our latest blog post:
Clarity Act Advances Through Senate Banking Committee, Moves to Full Senate Vote
JUST IN: According to crypto reporter Eleanor Terrett, the Clarity Act advanced through the U.S. Senate Banking Committee in a 15-9 bipartisan vote, with Democratic senators Ruben Gallego and Angela Alsobrooks voting in favor. The bill will next proceed to a full Senate vote.
Clarity Act markup/vote has started.
This is the Most important bill in the history of crypto and If it gets passed today,
It will remove manipulation, give clarity on rules and bring TRILLIONS from institutions.
With this, market will explode like we have never seen before in history. Patience.
people act like a $4 coffee is why everyone’s broke.
meanwhile it’s really the:
- $800 car payments
- nonstop credit card debt
- insane daycare costs
- student loan payments
- rent eating half your income
that’s why even people making good money still feel broke.
⚠️ THE CLARITY ACT MAY STILL FAIL FROM BECOMING A LAW - 7 REASONS WHY
1st: Senate Bill Merger
The Banking Committee text must first merge with a parallel bill from the Senate Agriculture Committee.
Any compromise text will likely face new opposition.
2nd: The 60-Vote Wall
Once reconciled, the bill faces a full Senate floor vote requiring 60 votes to overcome a filibuster.
Republicans hold only 53 seats. This means AT LEAST 7 Senate Democrats must cross over.
3rd: The Ethics Fight
Democrats are demanding a conflict-of-interest provision banning the President and officials from profiting off crypto.
White House opposes this. If unresolved, the 60-vote math collapses.
4th: The Banking Lobby
Banks are still pushing to:
-Kill the DeFi safe harbor
-Tighten stablecoin yield rules further
-Strip developer protections
Banks may appeal to senators OUTSIDE the Banking Committee before the floor vote, opening new pressure points.
5th: House Reconciliation
The House passed its OWN version (H.R. 3633) in July 2025. The Senate version added new language on stablecoin yield, DeFi, insider trading, and bankruptcy.
Both chambers must vote AGAIN on a unified bill.
6th: The August Deadline
The floor vote must happen by August. Miss it, and midterm campaigns take over.
The next window could be 2030 or beyond.
7th: Rulemaking Delay
Even if signed, the law has a 360-day delay. SEC and CFTC must write the rules.
Most compliance deadlines land in 2027-2028.
The hardest part is still ahead.