Polymarket has laid off staff and severed ties with a number of contractors as part of a broader effort to recover from several stumbles that have left it lagging its main rival
Polymarket odds that Anthropic goes public by November 30 have dropped to 70%, down 13 points this week.
The odds sat above 85% as recently as Wednesday, then fell sharply today as the Nasdaq 100 had its worst day since March 2020.
Polymarket traders now see a 31.7% chance Anthropic will be the largest IPO of 2026 by market cap.
That’s down from around 46% a week ago, with the odds dropping sharply in recent days before recovering slightly. More than $7.4 million has been traded on the market.
Polymarket traders are getting rinsed on fees.
We compared the cost of making 500 identical 5-min $BTC up/down predictions on Polymarket vs Orderly Predict.
The difference is ridiculous.
Polymarket launched 15-minute up-or-down gold and silver markets settled with @chainlink price data, and named it the official oracle for fast markets, where $LINK already powers over $11B in volume.
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