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Polling had El-Sayed up by 12%
He only won the election by 1%
Polling had Hong up by 22%
She lost the election by 1%
Polls are vastly overestimating the left
Polling data from the bizarre Clacton by-election show, to no one's surprise, that Farage will walk it. But that doesn't mean Count Binface isn't going to chalk up some wins of his own, says Mark Littlewood.
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Senate Polling — Trafalgar Group
🔵 North Carolina - Cooper +8 (Flip)
🔵 Texas - Talarico +4 (Flip)
🔵 Ohio - Brown +4 (Flip)
🔵 Kansas - Hamilton +1 (Flip)
🔵 Georgia - Ossoff +8
🔵 New Hampshire - Pappas +7
⚪️ Maine - Tied
🔵 Michigan - El-Sayed +2
🔴 Iowa - Hinson +2
🔴 Alaska - Sullivan +1
🔴 South Carolina- Graham +1
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Republican polling continues to collapse throughout the country.
How’d that Midterm Convention thingie work out for the extremists?
Dems' polling lead is smaller than it was in 2018 - when blue wave failed to flip Senate
New polling conducted of TX Hispanic voters for @CookPolitical and @Univision finds Trump’s ‘24 coalition in shambles. Almost 1 in 5 Trump ‘24 voters now disapprove of POTUS. Talarico leads Paxton by 33. In Rio Grande Valley, Dems lead generic by 14.
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New polling and recent elections suggest a growing share of gay male voters in several European countries are backing right-wing parties, with immigration and public safety cited as key issues.
Germany: A 2026 Romeo survey found 27.9% of gay respondents preferred Alternative for Germany (AfD), making it the most popular party among those surveyed.
An Ifop poll for Têtu found 27% of LGBT voters would support National Rally (RN) in the first round of the 2027 presidential election, up 10 percentage points from three years earlier.
United Kingdom: Polling shows Reform UK is the leading choice among gay voters with 25% support, ahead of the Green Party (19%), Labour (18%), and the Conservatives (15%).
In Spain, Vox leader Santiago Abascal has argued that more gay voters are now backing his party because of its hard-line stance on immigration.
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Falling polling numbers for Japan's Sanae Takaichi might be the cause for some more sleepless nights, writes @GearoidReidy (via @opinion)
The polling on AI is dire. AI is now less popular than ICE.
In China, 87% of the public trusts AI. In America, it is 32%.
The country that owns the lion's share of global AI compute is also the country
that trusts it less than immigration enforcement.
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1892 Polling | 5/12-5/14 LV
Michigan Governor Republican primary 2026
🟥John James 24% (-2)
🟥Perry Johnson 23% (+2)
🟥Mike Cox 7% (+1)
🟥Aric Nesbitt 7% (+3)
Undceided 38% (-4)
(Change from March 2026)
(Perry Johnson internal)
Link to poll:
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