It’s been a blast at #TheCurve# Thank you @GoldenGateInst for bringing together such a wonderful group of people this weekend 🫶 (Also, peak merch design, I adore this year’s light pink sweater 🩷)

Golden Gate Institute chairman @snewmanpv reveals why AGI could arrive as soon as next year, while truly transformative superintelligence could still be 5-10 years away: "Helen Toner’s talk this year was titled Minimum Viable Superintelligence. People talk about superintelligence and everyone means something different by it, and historically that’s been fine ’cause it’s always been way out in the future." "AGI has kind of ceased to be a useful term because it’s now close enough that the differences in what people mean by it overwhelm the value of the term." "She tried to define the minimum level of superintelligence that would actually start to have those profoundly transformational effects. Her estimate was 5 to 10 years out, which is also kind of how I think." @GoldenGateInst

Golden Gate Institute chairman @snewmanpv explains why he rates AI a 10/10 in technological significance, even though it has barely transformed the world so far: "If I had to pick a number, maybe it would be 10. But it hasn’t profoundly transformed the world yet. Electricity had enormous impact, but it didn’t have an enormous impact in its first year or its first decade." "It’s already too late for it to have transformed the world overnight. We’ve already gone through many nights." "Look at projections for solar power. There’s this 20 or 30-year history where the graph goes up exponentially, and every year a major forecasting organization says, ‘Okay, now it levels off.’ Somebody drew this beautiful graph with all these horizontal lines spraying out." "I do think it’s gonna be a profoundly transformational technology. I also think that still has some years to play out." @GoldenGateInst

Golden Gate Institute chairman @snewmanpv reveals how 300 new mathematical results, AI sandbox escapes, and a Hugging Face hack are shifting expectations of an imminent intelligence explosion: "It may just be a case of the straw that broke the camel’s back. There’s been so many things happening this year. Dramatic results in everything from mathematics to software development." "Also a lot of concerning events, the various reward hacking and sandbox escapes, the hack into Hugging Face, various other incidents from various labs showing up." "You’re getting these holy cow moments, like 300 new mathematical results just dropped, and these scary moments like the Hugging Face incident. I don’t know whether you can point to any one thing, but enough of these balls keep dropping and it shifts the vibe." @GoldenGateInst

Most major financial technologies reached institutions before they reached everyone else. bitcoin:native flipped that order. Individuals were buying, holding and moving Bitcoin long before most large companies were willing to put it on a balance sheet. Developers were building financial applications around Bitcoin while many institutions were still deciding whether they could own the asset at all. Now that gap's starting to close. Bitcoin-native businesses are already exploring lending, collateral, payments, stablecoins and other financial applications. Larger institutions are beginning to look at the same opportunity as custody infrastructure improves and regulatory clarity develops across different markets. But this time, they aren't introducing the technology to everyone else. They're entering an ecosystem that individuals and builders have already spent years using and developing. As @GoldenGatsby said recently in a chat with @HouseofChimera: “For the first time ever, perhaps in history, the individual is ahead of them in terms of adoption.” That may be one of the most unusual things about Bitcoin’s path into finance.

The @GoldenKnights head into the 2026-27 season with a new head coach and the same championship goal. An inside look at Vegas as they approach their 10th season in the NHL ⤵️