Allspring Global Investments’ Ann Miletti said Wall Street has more to worry about from next week’s Jackson Hole economic symposium than earnings from AI bellwether Nvidia.
The oldest option trade on record was placed over 2,500 years ago, by a philosopher, with pocket change, over olive oil.
Aristotle tells it in the Politics. Thales of Miletus, tired of hearing that philosophy makes no money, read the winter sky and expected an unusually large olive harvest. He did not buy olives. He paid small deposits to reserve every olive press in Miletus and Chios for the coming season. If the harvest failed, he would lose only the small deposits. The harvest came in enormous, everyone needed presses at once, and Thales rented them out on his own terms.
The story gets remembered as a forecasting win. The real invention was the structure. Thales capped his downside at the deposit and left his upside open. He was not predicting with more confidence than anyone else; he was shaping the payoff. That asymmetry, the right without the obligation, is the seed of every option product built in the two and a half millennia since.
Twenty-five centuries later, we are building the risk layer of crypto, still the same business: turning risk from something you fear or avoid into something you exploit for alpha.
MILEI’S U.S. TRADE DEAL HITS CONGRESSIONAL ROADBLOCK
Argentina has reportedly told the Trump administration it lacks the votes to ratify its bilateral trade agreement with the U.S.
Milei wants to renegotiate terms following the U.S. Supreme Court’s tariff ruling, but Washington is rejecting renegotiation over concerns it could set a precedent.
With Argentina’s legislative year ending in November, the deal now faces a tight political timetable.