“Success has many fathers, but failure is an orphan.”
I never realized the gravity of this quote till I saw extremely successful VCs fight for attribution of the hot deals.
And you realize this viscerally because the large exits (or markups) are genuinely rare and those are the ones you raise the next fund on (your own or part of the firm).
This is why in the next couple of years you’ll see many names scrubbed (or conveniently omitted) and everyone wanting to revise history to claim some credit for the ones that eventually succeed.
So many emerging GPs are facing this explicitly as the only thing they can take to their future LPs is their track record. And it’s been sad to see them not get the credit they actually deserve.
As
@AnjneyMidha said, eventually the new guard will shine as they will figure a way out. But in the short term, hold your founders close since they’ll be the real reference checks!
(this is genuinely NOT a subtweet at any firm, just what I have been noticing across the market as I’m helping emerging managers)