Tom Lee explains his $62,500 ETH price target “If we clear this Middle East problem and the US economy holds up through higher oil, I think we’re looking at a bull market that could run through 2028. A major move in equities is the setup… and here’s something to keep in mind. Since the war started, the best performing asset in the world — outperforming energy stocks — was Ethereum. It outperformed the S&P 500 by almost 20 percentage points, and you can see it has massively outperformed gold and silver. And if you take a look at Ethereum’s chart over the last 10 years, I think it’s going through a massive consolidation.” In its first consolidation of 2016, Ethereum went on to rise by 227x. In the second consolidation of 2018 and 2019, Ethereum rose by 54x. Tom points out that Ethereum is in the midst of its third consolidation: “I think there is a massive move coming in Ethereum, driven by a couple of things: tokenization and agentic AI… I think this means you can get something like a 25x for Ethereum.” Tom gives a quick overview of the tokenization thesis: “I think we’re going through an important moment in the financial system that’s not too different from 1971. Tokenization is making almost every asset synthetic, and it follows a roadmap that happened when the US went off the gold standard in 1971. This led to a huge unleashing of innovation and products from money market funds to currency futures to CDOs to indexed futures all because the US was trying to preserve the sovereignty of the dollar when we went off the gold standard. I think that’s happening today because we’re digitizing everything.” He points to the following quote from JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon (formerly one of crypto’s biggest skeptics): “Crypto is better than the current financial system.” Tom continues: “I think everyone who’s building in crypto is going to develop these future products — stablecoins, tokenized equities, monetized reputation. It’s also part of the future agentic system.” On a separate slide he points out all of the things Agentic AI will need that work better on crypto rails. Two are identity and payments. “Agents almost certainly won’t want to use PayPal or Visa or MasterCard to do micropayments,” Tom argues. Lastly, Tom turns to price: “Blockchains should gain relevance against against crypto’s store of value, which is Bitcoin. In our minds, the way to think about the future of Ethereum is its price ratio to Bitcoin The 8-year average was 0.0479. The high was 0.087… We think fair value for Bitcoin is $250,000, so if Ethereum goes back to the 8 year average, that’s $12,000 ETH. If Ethereum goes back to its 2021 high, that’s $22,000 ETH. But of course I think it’s better positioned today than it was in 2021. So that gets us to what we think is the ‘payment rails’ number — that Ethereum is going to be roughly a quarter of the value of Bitcoin. And that gets you to $62,500. And that’s kind of following the previous historical price cycles.” Source: @ParisBlockWeek (May 2026) Read Etherealize's "Productive Money" report on the path to $250,000 ETH below 👇