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Arthur Hayes 在最新文章中表示: bitcoin:native 在6万美元触底价后开启反弹,最终将突破 12.6 万美元,并预计突破 9 万美元涨势将加速, 理由是: 1️⃣AI 军备竞赛会逼迫美国和中国继续放水; 2️⃣AI CAPEX 不是一次性建设,而是会越卷越大; 3️⃣美国打伊朗之后,全球进入“每个国家自保”的时代,这会导致一部分外国资金从美元金融资产流出。 4️⃣为了托住美元资产,美国只能继续提供流动性; 5️⃣战争、AI、基础设施重建,都会制造通胀,但政治上仍然会被允许; 原文:
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Arthur Hayes:特朗普家族因被银行封禁而转向加密货币 BitMEX 创始人 Arthur Hayes @CryptoHayes 在 Consensus 大会中表示,特朗普及其竞选团队在 2024 年转向支持加密货币,真实原因是特朗普家族曾遭传统银行系统针对并被剥夺服务 。在面临资产冻结和诉讼时,他们深刻认识到了游离于国家控制之外资产的价值 。Hayes 认为,加密货币的核心价值正是存在于监管体系外,否则它只是一种普通资产 。此外,他表示比特币的价格根本不在乎监管,唯一决定涨跌的因素只有法币的印钞量 。 来源: CoinDesk
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Arthur Hayes:99% 山寨币的归零,不意味着行业终结 2026 年 5 月 5 日,在 CoinDesk 播出的 Consensus 大会上,被问及机构入场是否会导致山寨币消亡时,BitMEX 联合创始人 Arthur Hayes @CryptoHayes 表示山寨币永远不会消亡。他认为,虽然 99% 的山寨币会归零,但这和美股类似——拉长周期看,自 1929 年以来标普 500 中大约 98% 的公司也已归零,多数股票其实也是垃圾资产。他表示,加密市场的全天候交易只是压缩了这一周期,其作为创新筹资的机制依然是一个很好的模式,山寨币将永远存在。 来源:CoinDesk
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Arthur Hayes 关联地址 11 小时前向 #Binance# 和 #Bybit# 充值 3000 枚 $ETH ,价值 692.7 万美元 该地址使用的 Bybit 充值地址也曾在一年前与 Arthur Hayes 存在交互;目前该地址仍持有 5278 枚 ETH,约 1233 万美元 钱包地址 #Bitget VIP# 费率更低,福利更狠!买美股秒级入场
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Arthur Hayes @CryptoHayes ,1985年出生于美国底特律,后随父母搬迁至纽约水牛城,就读于布法罗市的尼科尔斯学校,这是一所私立预备学校。 2004年,Hayes 进入宾西法尼亚大学沃顿商学院 开始了大学生涯。 其校友包括,川普 @realDonaldTrump /马斯克 @elonmusk  / 巴菲特 @WarrenBuffett 等人。 后来,孙宇晨 @justinsuntron 通过去宾大政治经济专业读了个硕士,如愿成了上面几个人的校友。 2008年,Hayes 从沃顿商学院毕业后,去了德意志银行(香港)交易部门,开始了其衍生品交易牛马的生涯。 2011年,Hayes 又跳去了花旗香港的衍生品交易部门。 2014 年,Arthur Hayes 和Ben Delo、Samuel Reed 共同成立BitMEX,主打加密资产衍生品交易。 Ben Peter Delo  @bendelo   是 BitMEX 的联合创始人兼共同所有人,在案件期间,他担任 BitMEX 的首席运营官。 他是英国公民,2005年从牛津大学伍斯特学院(Worcester College)毕业,主修数学和计算机科学。 他从未以任何身份在CFTC注册。 Ben毕业后加入IBM担任软件工程师;后来他在对冲基金GSA Capital和摩根大通银行开发高频交易系统。 Samuel Reed @STRML_ 是 BitMEX 的联合创始人兼共同所有人,并自称是 BitMEX 的首席技术官。 他是美国公民,1990年出生,在调查期间居住在威斯康星州密尔沃基和马萨诸塞州波士顿。 Samuel Reed 毕业于Washington & Lee University ,计算机科学学位。 在案件期间,Reed 通过一家威斯康星州有限责任公司持有 BitMEX 实体的所有权权益,该公司在美国的银行设有账户,并在美国拥有房产。Reed 从未以任何身份在CFTC注册。 Hayes、Delo 和 Reed 共同负责 BitMEX 业务的各个方面。总体而言,Delo 负责构建和监督 BitMEX 交易引擎,Reed 负责构建和监督 BitMEX 网站、API 和订单输入系统,而 Hayes 则负责 BitMEX 企业的战略决策、业务拓展、市场营销和管理。 @Moon1ightSt @Cryptobtcmiko @Murphychen888 @WallStreet0Name @agintender @xingpt @TingHu888 @jason_chen998 @colinwu @XXY177 @xiaomustock @BTC_Alert_ @Michael_Liu93 @yuyue_chris @willywoo @blknoiz06 @Trader_S18 @follow_clues @wolfyxbt @ai_9684xtpa @qinbafrank @ssslumdunk
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Arthur Hayes @CryptoHayes was born in Detroit, USA, in 1985. He later moved with his parents to Buffalo, New York, where he attended the Nichols School—a private preparatory school located in the city. In 2004, Hayes began his undergraduate studies at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania. His notable alumni peers include @realDonaldTrump , @elonmusk@WarrenBuffett  and others. Subsequently, Justin Sun @justinsun enrolled in a master's program in Political Economy at the University of Pennsylvania, thereby fulfilling his aspiration to become an alumnus alongside the aforementioned figures. In 2008, following his graduation from the Wharton School, Hayes joined the trading division at Deutsche Bank (Hong Kong), marking the beginning of his career as a derivatives trading specialist. In 2011, Hayes moved to the derivatives trading division at Citi (Hong Kong). In 2014, Arthur Hayes co-founded BitMEX alongside Ben Delo and Samuel Reed, focusing primarily on the trading of crypto asset derivatives. Ben Peter Delo @bendelo   is a co-founder and co-owner of BitMEX. And during the relevant Period , he has been the Chief Operating Officer of BitMEX.  He is a U.K. citizen and graduated from Worcester College, Oxford University in 2005 with a degree in Mathematics and Computer Science. He has never been registered with the Commission in any capacity.  After graduating, Ben joined IBM as a software engineer. Later, he developed high-frequency trading systems for the hedge fund GSA Capital and JPMorgan Chase. Samuel Reed @STRML_ borned in1990, is a co-founder and co-owner of BitMEX, and describes himself as Chief Technology Officer of BitMEX.  He is a U.S. citizen and has resided in Milwaukee, Wisconsin and Boston, Massachusetts during the Relevant Period.  Samuel graduated from Washington & Lee University with a degree in Computer Science and was served as CTO of two technology companies: Tixelated and Global Brand Solutions of Hong Kong. During the Relevant Period, Reed has held his ownership interest in the BitMEX entities through a Wisconsin limited liability company that maintains bank accounts at banks in the United States, and owns property in the U.S. Reed has never been registered with the Commission in any capacity. Hayes, Delo, and Reed have shared responsibility for various aspects of the  BitMEX business. At a high level, Delo has been responsible for building and overseeing the BitMEX trading engine, Reed has been responsible for building and overseeing the BitMEX website, API and order entry system, and Hayes has been responsible for strategic decisions, business development, marketing, and management of the BitMEX enterprise.  @TheJusticeDept @CFTC  @USDOJ_Intl   @bitmex @BitMEX_Ethan @Crypto_slutz @r_polansky @sudhu_aru @BitMEX_sandisam @business @markets @BloombergAsia @Reuters @watcherguru @zachxbt @insiderwire @WhalePanda @Tintinx2021 @yq_acc @RichardPtardio @JamesWynnReal @muphasamc @huskyXBT @JSeyff @0xcryptosam @degeneratenews @crypto_condom
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吴说获悉,BitMEX 联合创始人 Arthur Hayes 在最新文章《The Butterfly Touch》中表示,AI 基建竞赛、战争开支以及各国转向基础设施和关键商品储备,将推动美元与人民币信贷继续扩张,并利好比特币与加密资产。Hayes 认为,比特币已在 6 万美元附近见底,重新突破 12.6 万美元“已成定局”,若突破 9 万美元,涨势可能加速。此外,他透露其家族基金 Maelstrom 目前已重仓 HYPE 和 ZEC,并表示下一步将重点看好并布局 NEAR。以上为 Hayes 个人观点,不构成投资建议。
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这里需要明确的一个关键点是: 2022年5月,Arthur Hayes @CryptoHayes@CFTC 达成《永久禁令同意令》(Consent Order),作为其认罪和解协议的核心组成部分。 明确禁止其: •直接或间接参与任何受CFTC监管的衍生品交易平台的运营、管理或顾问工作; •代表、推广或宣传任何商品期货、期权或加密衍生品相关产品; •以任何形式(包括付费代言、社交媒体推荐、播客分析)为受监管金融产品提供有偿或无偿的市场推广服务。 同时,这一禁令为永久性,且具有刑事违反后果。 若违反,CFTC可立即向法院申请contempt of court(藐视法庭)指控,最高可判处额外监禁,并追加罚款。 @business @markets @BloombergAsia @Reuters @watcherguru @zachxbt @insiderwire @WhalePanda @Tintinx2021 @yq_acc @RichardPtardio @JamesWynnReal @muphasamc @huskyXBT @JSeyff @0xcryptosam @degeneratenews @crypto_condom
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One critical point needs to be clearly understood: In May 2022, Arthur Hayes entered into a Consent Order for Permanent Injunction with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission as a core component of his plea and settlement agreement. Under this order, he is expressly and permanently prohibited from: • Directly or indirectly participating in the operation, management, or advisory functions of any derivatives trading platform subject to CFTC regulation; • Acting to represent, promote, or market any products related to commodity futures, options, or crypto derivatives; • Providing, in any capacity, whether compensated or not, promotional or marketing services for regulated financial products, including through paid endorsements, social media activity, or podcast commentary. This injunction is permanent in nature and carries potential criminal consequences if violated. In the event of a breach, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission may immediately seek a finding of contempt of court, which could result in additional fines and potential imprisonment. @TheJusticeDept @CFTC  @USDOJ_Intl   @gov_online  @meti_chusho  @fsa_attention @SESC_JAPAN @fsa_procurement @MOJ_PSIA @NPA_KOHO @JFSA_en @Wa_nisa_FSA @headlinevc @MaelstromFund @ivcryptofund @aethircloud @CryptoHayes  @etherary @akshat_hk
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2020 年10月2日,美国司法部和商品期货交易委员会 (CFTC) 起诉 Hayes 和 BitMEX平台,指控其未注册为合法交易所,且未实施有效的反洗钱 (AML) 和「了解你的客户」(KYC) 政策。 美国商品期货交易委员会 @CFTC 对: BitMEX母公司HDR Global Trading Limited 、 100x Holdings Limited 、 ABS Global Trading Limited 、 Shine Effort Inc Limited 与HDR Global Services (Bermuda) Limited 五家公司,以及加密货币衍生品交易平台 BitMEX三位创始人 Arthur Hayes @CryptoHayes 、 Ben Peter Delo  @bendelo 及 Samuel Reed @STRML_提起诉讼,指控其在美国运营未註冊的交易平台,同時违反数项 CFTC 规定,包括反洗钱(AML)规定。 美国司法部@TheJusticeDept 则对 :Arthur Hayes 、 Benjamin Delo(即 Ben Peter Delo),Samuel Reed 和 Gregory Dwyer(BitMEX 业务发展部门主管)提起刑事检控: 指控四人在运营 @BitMEX 时故意违法、不实施、不维持适当的反洗钱程序,涉嫌违反及密谋违反美国 《银行保密法 (Bank Secrecy Act, BSA)》。
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In October 2020, the U.S. Department of Justice and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission brought charges against Arthur Hayes and the BitMEX , alleging that it operated as an unregistered trading venue and failed to implement adequate Anti-Money Laundering (AML) and Know Your Customer (KYC) programs. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission also filed a civil enforcement action against BitMEX’s parent entities, including HDR Global Trading Limited, 100x Holdings Limited, ABS Global Trading Limited, Shine Effort Inc Limited, and HDR Global Services (Bermuda) Limited, as well as BitMEX’s three co-founders: Arthur Hayes, Ben Peter Delo, and Samuel Reed. The complaint alleged that they operated an unregistered trading platform in the United States and violated multiple CFTC regulations, including AML requirements. Separately, the U.S. Department of Justice brought criminal charges against Arthur Hayes, Benjamin Delo, Samuel Reed, and Gregory Dwyer. Prosecutors alleged that the defendants willfully failed to establish, implement, and maintain an adequate AML program while operating BitMEX, and that they violated and conspired to violate the Bank Secrecy Act. @CFTC  @DOJCrimDiv @DOJNatSec  @USAttorneys @BitMEX @BitMEXResearch @STRML_ @CryptoHayes @bendelo @100xGroup @Forbes @Cointelegraph @CoinDesk @zachxbt @FareaNFts
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重点来了,下面7家既是Aethir 的资方又是Aethir 的顾问,筹码占比情况如图所示: 1 Merit Circle  @BuildOnBeam 2 @MaelstromFund Arthur Hayes @CryptoHayes 3 Builder Capital @BuilderVC     4 Meta Capital LP  5 Versailles Ventures   6 Lumen Capital 7 The Big Bang Dao                                                                下周,百科将详细起底 @AethirCloud 核心发起资方 IVC @ivcryptofund@BitMex 创始人 Arthur Hayes 。 @thecryptoskanda @BroLeon @Web3Dc888 @TommyDeng_DAO @zhuren1992 @0xYukiRabbit  @0xSleepinRain @MessariCrypto @_0xKenny @monkeyjiang @tmel0211 @laogoxx @btc100w100w @superogers1 @YSI_crypto  @StargateFinance @coingecko @hiwhaledegen @DamiDefi @Grayscale @MerlijnTrader @Dune
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Here comes the important part. The following seven companies are both investors and advisors to Aethir, and their chip holdings are shown in the figure. 1 Merit Circle  @BuildOnBeam 2 @MaelstromFund Arthur Hayes 3 Builder Capital @BuilderVC     4 Meta Capital LP  5 Versailles Ventures   6 Lumen Capital 7 The Big Bang Dao Next week, CP will provide detailed info about Aethir's core founding investors, IVC @ivcryptofund , and the founder of @BitMEX ,Arthur Hayes @CryptoHayes. @hosseeb  @MessariCrypto   @wacy_time1 @lookonchain @Coincuofficial  @DamiDefi  @cryptorand  @hmalviya9 @CryptoNinja_NFT @IHayato @shupeiman @DANKU_mj @noritaka_okabe @cryptobaby @kudasai_japan @BankeraDao  @tabbata @CNBCFastMoney @DegenerateNews @zachxbt @CFInvestigators @CFInvestigators #ath# #ivc# #hayes#
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⚡️还是很建议去看一下小黑 的最新奶文,核心就一句话: AI 军备竞赛 + 战争冲击 + 去全球化备货,会逼着美国和中国继续放水, $BTC 和 crypto 会吃到这轮流动性红利,我们已处于牛市之中! 总结梳理了一下他的逻辑和要点: 1⃣ AI 军备竞赛会继续膨胀 Hayes 认为,在美中 AI 军备竞赛中,科技公司会不断吸走资本,银行和央行也会配合提供信用。AI 投资会被过度建设,但短期还停不下来。 2⃣ AI 叙事本质上会推动放水 数据中心、电力、芯片、算力、模型训练都需要巨量资金,结果就是美元和人民币信用继续扩张。 对 crypto 来说,关键不是 AI 能不能创造奇迹,而是它会不会制造更多 fiat liquidity。 3⃣ 战争让各国重新思考储备资产 他认为战争暴露了很多国家过多持有美债和美元资产的问题。 因此美国袭击伊朗是牛市启动点,各国以后会减少单纯持有美元金融资产,转向建设能源管道、国防、粮食和商品储备。这会削弱外国资金对美债和美股的长期买盘。 4⃣ 美国为了托住金融市场,只能继续创造美元 Hayes 认为美国会通过美元互换额度、放松银行资本监管、鼓励银行多持有美债等方式,把这个缺口补上,本质还是扩表和放水。 5⃣ BTC 会成为这轮流动性扩张的受益资产 他认为 2 月 28 日之后 BTC 已经开始跑赢黄金和美股科技股,并判断 BTC 今年低点在 6 万美元附近,重回 12.6 万美元基本没悬念。 6⃣ 他明确转向高风险仓位 Hayes 说自己会把投资组合推到最大风险敞口,除非宏观环境发生巨大变化。现在不是防守期,是闭眼按按钮的牛市段。 另外除了已有大仓位的 HYPE 和 ZEC,他还点名提到了 NEAR,理由是 privacy narrative + Near intents 可能让协议现金流改善,带动代币重新定价。 全篇很符合 Hayes 在 Consensus 2026 中的金句: AI 摧毁中产 → Fed 印钞 → BTC $125K,99% Altcoins归零!
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Arthur Hayes 在最新文章中表示: bitcoin:native 在6万美元触底价后开启反弹,最终将突破 12.6 万美元,并预计突破 9 万美元涨势将加速, 理由是: 1️⃣AI 军备竞赛会逼迫美国和中国继续放水; 2️⃣AI CAPEX 不是一次性建设,而是会越卷越大; 3️⃣美国打伊朗之后,全球进入“每个国家自保”的时代,这会导致一部分外国资金从美元金融资产流出。 4️⃣为了托住美元资产,美国只能继续提供流动性; 5️⃣战争、AI、基础设施重建,都会制造通胀,但政治上仍然会被允许; 原文:
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