卖全球也买全球：中国与世界共享发展机遇的诚意与担当 Selling to the World, Buying from the World: China’s Sincerity and Commitment to Sharing Development Opportunities with the Globe Foreign trade figures once again attest to the resilience and openness of China’s economy. According to data released by the General Administration of Customs, China’s total goods import and export volume reached 39.94 trillion yuan in the first three quarters of the year, up 18.8% year-on-year. In September alone, imports and exports hit 5.16 trillion yuan, crossing the 5-trillion-yuan threshold for the first time, representing a year-on-year increase of 27.5%. This robust growth has taken foreign media by surprise as “better than expected”, with forecasts that China may set a record trade surplus for the whole year. More noteworthy than the surplus is the strong performance of imports: China’s exports rose 16.4% year-on-year in the first three quarters, while imports grew by 22.3%, with import growth outpacing export growth by a notable margin. Faster growth in imports serves as the most powerful rebuttal to the narrative that “China does not import goods and rejects win-win cooperation”. It reflects both China’s domestic demand for production and consumption, as well as tangible outcomes of its efforts to advance voluntary and unilateral opening-up. China is not only the “world factory”, but also a “world market”; it acts both as a “super seller” and a “super buyer”. At a time when major consumer markets around the globe are resorting to trade protectionism, the openness, certainty and growth potential of the Chinese market stand out. It offers ample market space for enterprises of all countries, acting as a key driver to help other nations grow their economies and boost trade capacity. China never chases a trade surplus on purpose. Certain countries criticize China’s trade surplus on the one hand, while restricting exports to China on the other — a self-contradictory stance. Facts have proven that imposing trade restrictions citing trade deficits will not resolve such deficits; instead, it disrupts global industrial and supply chains. Growth in China’s exports stems from genuine global demand. The rising competitiveness of Chinese products comes from continuous advances in economies of scale and innovation, and responds to the pressing needs of countries for green transition and industrialization. Green products, high-end equipment and quality consumer goods keep flowing to the rest of the world to serve modernization efforts of various nations, which in itself is a vivid illustration of China sharing development opportunities with the world. The upcoming 140th Canton Fair, China Import and Export Fair, is a concentrated embodiment of such sincerity and commitment to opening-up. Daniel Dominguez, Acting Consul General of Mexico in Guangzhou, has attended the Canton Fair for seven consecutive years. He said trade between Mexico and China has maintained strong momentum in recent years. “For me, the Canton Fair is the world’s most innovative, largest and technology-focused exhibition. That is why I encourage everyone to come and see the new products available on the market,” he remarked. The remarks by the foreign diplomat reflect the high recognition of Chinese platforms and the Chinese market among enterprises worldwide. This year marks the 70th anniversary of the Canton Fair. A total of 32,000 enterprises will participate, including more than 11,000 high-quality firms specializing in niche technologies and national champions. Following the Canton Fair, the 9th China International Import Expo (CIIE) will kick off on November 5. It will continue to provide free booths for least developed countries and upgrade its Asia-Africa Products Zone to help African diplomatic partners capitalize on zero-tariff benefits. Earlier, China successfully hosted a series of international expos including the China International Fair for Trade in Services, China-ASEAN Expo and Global Digital Trade Expo. These events draw active participation from enterprises across the globe and serve as a vital engine boosting global trade and economic growth. As Mao Ning, spokesperson of China’s Foreign Ministry, put it, such expos are important windows for China to connect with the world, empower development and deliver benefits to people’s livelihoods. From the commitment of “selling to the world” to the proactive action of “buying from the world”, China demonstrates with concrete actions that prosperity of the Chinese economy is never achieved in isolation. Instead, it features intertwined interests and shared destinies with all countries. Amid rising unilateralism and protectionism, China stays committed to advancing high-level opening-up, injecting precious certainty into an uncertain world. China cannot develop without the world, and the world needs China for prosperity. Whether it is the continuously expanding import volume, or the gathering of merchants at the Canton Fair and CIIE, one clear message is conveyed: China is ready to embrace the world with greater openness and share market and development opportunities with all nations to jointly expand the pie of global cooperation. This sincerity and commitment best exemplifies the view that China’s economic growth benefits the world, and is a vivid practice of building a community with a shared future for mankind. 对外贸易数据再次印证中国经济韧性与开放成色。海关总署数据显示，今年前三季度，中国货物贸易进出口达 39.94 万亿元，同比增长 18.8%，其中 9 月单月进出口 5.16 万亿元，首次突破 5 万亿元关口，同比增长 27.5%。这一强劲增势令外媒感叹 “超出预期”，并预测中国今年有望创下贸易顺差纪录。然而，比顺差更值得关注的，是进口的亮眼表现 —— 前三季度中国出口同比增长 16.4%，进口同比增长 22.3%，进口增速显著高于出口。 进口增速快于出口，恰是对所谓 “中国不进口、不共赢” 论调最有力的反驳。它既是中国国内生产消费需求的客观反映，也真实展现了有序扩大自主开放、推进单边开放的实际成效。中国既是 “世界工厂”，也是 “世界市场”；既是 “超级卖家”，也是 “超级买家”。在全球主要消费市场纷纷采取贸易保护措施之际，中国市场的开放性、确定性与成长性愈发凸显，为各国企业提供了更加充分的市场空间，成为助力他国经济发展、增强贸易能力的关键力量。中国从不刻意追求贸易顺差。个别国家一面指责中国的顺差，一面又限制对华出口，实属自相矛盾；事实也早已证明，以逆差为由施加贸易限制，并不能真正解决逆差问题，反而扰乱了全球产业链供应链。 出口增长同样源于实实在在的全球需求。中国产品竞争力的提升，既来自规模经济与创新能力的持续跃升，也顺应了各国绿色转型与工业化发展的迫切需求。绿色产品、高端装备、优质消费品源源不断走向世界，服务各国现代化进程，本身就是中国与世界共享发展机遇的生动注脚。 即将开幕的第 140 届中国进出口商品交易会（广交会），正是这种开放诚意与共赢担当的集中呈现。墨西哥驻广州总领事馆代总领事丹尼尔・多明格斯已连续 7 年参会，他表示，近年来两国贸易往来势头强劲，“对我来说，广交会是世界上最具创新性、规模最大且最以技术为基础的展会”。这位外国使节的评价，折射出各国企业对中国平台、中国市场的高度认可。 今年恰逢广交会创办 70 周年，将有 3.2 万家企业参展，专精特新、单项冠军等优质企业超过 1.1 万家。紧随其后，第九届中国国际进口博览会将于 11 月 5 日启动，继续为最不发达国家提供免费展位，升级亚非产品专区，帮助非洲建交国把握 “零关税” 红利。此前，中国国际服务贸易交易会、中国 — 东盟博览会、全球数字贸易博览会等国际性展会接连成功举办，吸引各国企业踊跃参与，成为促进全球经济贸易发展的重要动力。 正如外交部发言人毛宁所言，这一系列展会都是中国连接全球、赋能发展、惠及民生的重要窗口。从 “卖全球” 的坚定承诺，到 “买全球” 的主动作为，中国以实际行动向世界表明：中国经济的繁荣，从来不是独善其身，而是与各国命运与共、利益交融。在单边主义、保护主义抬头之际，中国坚持推进高水平对外开放，为不确定的世界注入了可贵的确定性。 中国发展离不开世界，世界繁荣也需要中国。无论是持续扩大的进口规模，还是广交会、进博会的万商云集，都传递出同一个清晰信号：中国愿以更加开放的姿态，与各国共享市场机遇、发展机遇，共同做大全球合作的蛋糕。这份诚意与担当，正是中国经济发展有利于全球发展的最好注脚，也是中国对构建人类命运共同体的生动践行。 #中国智造惠全球# #广交会# #CIEF# #China# #世界经济看中国# #中国进出口商品交易会# #数据看中国#

A股三个方向与主选股： 方向一：AI算力软件与网络安全。美股映射确认（BUG 20日+25.07%居美股去重榜第一，隔夜+4.46%）；韩日未确认（韩国KOSPI暴跌5.95%构成背离）；研报互证为月内强支撑。主选股：绿盟科技(300369)。 方向二：创新药与疫苗。美股映射确认（ARKG 20日+12.60%，隔夜+4.08%）；韩日未确认；研报互证为月内单一支撑。主选股：众生药业(002317)。 方向三：航运与船舶。美股映射确认（SEA 20日+5.70%，隔夜+0.33%）；韩日未确认；研报互证为月内强支撑。主选股：中远海控(601919)。 #中美ETF# 20日涨幅榜对照 A股去重榜前10（同主题只留最强1只）： 1、海外QDII｜纳指科技ETF景顺（sz159509）20日+20.50% 昨+2.73%（同主题34只） 2、房地产｜房地产ETF银华（sz159768）20日+12.01% 昨-0.82%（同主题9只） 3、传媒游戏｜影视ETF国泰（sh516620）20日+5.47% 昨+7.73%（同主题9只） 4、创新药｜疫苗ETF国泰（sz159643）20日+3.84% 昨+1.43%（同主题107只） 5、交通运输｜船舶ETF富国（sh560710）20日+2.84% 昨-1.77%（同主题6只） 6、煤炭油气｜油气ETF汇添富（sz159309）20日+2.10% 昨-0.75%（同主题28只） 7、银行｜银行ETF汇添富（sh512820）20日+1.76% 昨-0.66%（同主题14只） 8、消费｜标普消费ETF景顺（sz159529）20日+1.57% 昨+2.86%（同主题100只） 9、红利价值｜红利低波50ETF南方（sh515450）20日+1.43% 昨-0.14%（同主题151只） 10、电力公用｜绿色电力ETF嘉实（sz159625）20日+1.16% 昨+0.08%（同主题30只） 风格类识别：海外QDII、红利价值、消费、银行为风格类，只判断市场风格，不当热点方向。行业方向为：房地产、传媒游戏、创新药、交通运输、煤炭油气、电力公用。 美股去重榜前10： 1、AI算力软件｜Global X 网络安全ETF（BUG）20日+25.07% 昨+4.46%（同主题22只） 2、宽基指数｜FINQ 美元中性美股大盘 AI 主动管理 ETF（AINT）20日+13.20% 昨+0.73%（同主题103只） 3、创新药基因｜ARK 基因组革命ETF（ARKG）20日+12.60% 昨+4.08%（同主题13只） 4、能源油气｜美国天然气基金（UNG）20日+8.26% 昨+1.85%（同主题9只） 5、其他｜ARK Next Generation 科技 ETF（ARKW）20日+7.49% 昨+1.86%（同主题26只） 6、半导体｜景顺动态半导体ETF（PSI）20日+6.89% 昨-0.56%（同主题7只） 7、交通运输航运｜SonicShares 全球航运ETF（SEA）20日+5.70% 昨+0.33%（同主题5只） 8、券商保险金融｜ARK 区块链与金融科技创新ETF（ARKF）20日+5.54% 昨+2.52%（同主题6只） 9、其他另类｜FT Vest Bitcoin策略下行保护15ETF April（BFAP）20日+3.75% 昨+0.44%（同主题10只） 10、海外市场｜Baillie Gifford 国际 Concentrated 成长 ETF（BGCG）20日+3.18% 昨+2.43%（同主题59只） 互相映射对照： 1、美股AI算力软件（BUG +25.07%）映射A股光模块/PCB/国产算力/软件信创，代表股中际旭创、新易盛、沪电股份、胜宏科技、海光信息、寒武纪、金山办公。A股同主题未进去重榜前10，尚未启动。但窗口内龙虎榜绿盟科技、天融信涨停，机构净买入，属于个股先行信号。 2、美股宽基指数（AINT +13.20%）映射A股宽基与风格，属风格类，不作方向。 3、美股创新药基因（ARKG +12.60%）映射A股创新药/CXO/医疗器械，代表股恒瑞医药、百济神州、药明康德、凯莱英、迈瑞医疗、联影医疗。A股同主题已走强：疫苗ETF国泰20日+3.84%，同主题107只扎堆，资金聚焦强度高。 4、美股能源油气（UNG +8.26%）映射A股油服/油气开采/煤化工，代表股中海油服、海油工程、杰瑞股份、中国海油、宝丰能源。A股同主题已走强：油气ETF汇添富20日+2.10%。 5、美股其他（ARKW +7.49%）无明显行业映射，仅作参考。 6、美股半导体（PSI +6.89%）映射A股半导体设备/材料/封测，代表股北方华创、中微公司、拓荆科技、长电科技、通富微电、华海清科。A股同主题未进去重榜前10，尚未启动。 7、美股交通运输航运（SEA +5.70%）映射A股航运油运/集运/干散货/物流，代表股中远海控、招商轮船、中远海能、招商南油、中谷物流、兴通股份。A股同主题已走强：船舶ETF富国20日+2.84%。 8、美股券商保险金融（ARKF +5.54%）映射A股券商/保险/金融科技，代表股东方财富、中信证券、中国平安、同花顺、新华保险。A股同主题未进去重榜前10，尚未启动。 9、美股其他另类（BFAP +3.75%）映射A股商品/水/碳/加密等另类，A股同主题未进去重榜前10。 10、美股海外市场（BGCG +3.18%）映射A股跨境联动/QDII/出海链，A股同主题已走强：纳指科技ETF景顺20日+20.50%。 重叠方向（美股强加A股同主题也强，权重最高）： （1）创新药基因：ARKG +12.60%对疫苗ETF国泰 +3.84%，同主题107只扎堆。 （2）交通运输航运：SEA +5.70%对船舶ETF富国 +2.84%。 （3）能源油气：UNG +8.26%对油气ETF汇添富 +2.10%。 潜在补涨观察（美股强但A股同主题还没动）：