ROC (Rate Of Change) is a simple indicator measuring today's price change from XX-days ago. In $XLF , high readings can mark strong initiation with more to come. Deep negative readings are usually exhaustive, at least temporarily.

This chart appeared in my Daily Edition on Friday. In late July, the non-commercial traders of Bitcoin futures were at an all-time record net long position as a group. Unlike most futures, the "commercial" traders are not the smart money in Bitcoin, where few traders qualify. Instead, the non-commercials (think large hedge funds) are the smart money. As BTC prices rose in August, these traders pared their longs rapidly, which gave me some concern. But over the past 2 weeks they have been reestablishing a big net long position, ahead of the rally we are seeing today.

Positive breadth at the close on Monday will bring a 3rd McClellan Oscillator bottom, higher than the last two, which is a powerful bullish signal. We last saw one of those at the March 30, 2026 low.

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