Starship Flight 14 hardware has now cleared its biggest propulsion-test milestones
SpaceX completed a full-duration 33-engine static fire of Booster 21 at Starbase
• Ship 41 → full-duration 6-Raptor static fire
• Booster 21 → full-duration 33-Raptor static fire
Both vehicles have now completed their major engine tests for Flight 14
Next up: vehicle integration, stacking and final launch preparations as SpaceX works toward the official launch date
Starship Flight 14 is getting very close to launch
Over the past week, probabilities show notable cooling in sentiment that major players will launch tokens in 2026.
The odds of launch by December:
📉@Base: 13% → 9%
📉@OpenSea: 13% → 10%
📉@Polymarket: 21% → 16%
If you want to understand why retail sentiment is at all-time lows, these two charts explain most of it.
There are fewer tokens worth >$250M today than at any point since early 2021. Every valuation tier above $250M peaked in Nov 2021 and never recovered. Meanwhile, the number of tokens >$1M did make new highs, peaking in Dec 2024. Pumpfun and the launchpad era created more tokens than ever, but the liquidity to sustain them never showed up. The pyramid got wider at the base and thinner at the top.
Tokens by threshold (cycle peak → Jun '26):
>$1M: 3,648 (Dec '24) → 2,442 (−33%)
>$50M: 728 (Nov '24) → 358 (−51%)
>$100M: 484 (Nov '24) → 217 (−55%)
>$250M: 288 (Nov '21) → 110 (−62%)
>$1B: 123 (Nov '21) → 45 (−63%)
For most retail participants this is brutal: the median token fights against thousands of newly created competitors each day for less liquidity, which is the PvP environment we've been living in. The flip side: there's never been a better time to be a fundamental investor in crypto. As consolidation plays out, you just need to pick a handful of winners that can eventually grow into multi-billion dollar valuations.
Methodology note: this covers all 54k assets CoinGecko has ever listed, including 36k dead or delisted ones, so survivorship bias doesn't flatter the counts. I took month-end market caps from Jan 2020 to Jun 2026 and excluded anything that isn't a unique crypto-native asset: stablecoins, wrapped assets, LSTs, lending receipts, and tokenized RWAs (e.g., ETH counts once; WETH and stETH don't count at all). ~10.7k unique assets finished at least one month >$1M between Jan 2020 and Jun 2026.
🚨 THE FINAL BULL TRAP ENDS TOMORROW
The pattern hasn't changed.
Bull Trap I → -27.8%
Bull Trap II → -21.6%
Bull Trap III → ?
History keeps repeating.
Reminder: I publicly called the 2022 market bottom and Bitcoin's $126K top in 2025.
The next call will be posted here first.
Follow and turn notifications on.
Don't become exit liquidity.
🚨 WARNING: THE FINAL BULL TRAP ENDS NEXT WEEK
History is starting to repeat perfectly.
Bull Trap I → -27%
Bull Trap II → -21%
Bull Trap III → -??%
The next market selloff will be brutal.
Reminder:
I publicly called the 2022 market bottom.
Then I publicly called Bitcoin’s $126K top in 2025.
The next call will be posted here first.
Follow and turn notifications on.
S&P 500 IS REPEATING HISTORY!!
Same timing. Same pattern. Different cycle.
1998 → -23.45%
2002 → -30.16%
2006 → -11.04%
2010 → -18.53%
2014 → -12.16%
2018 → -19.39%
2022 → -21.44%
2026 → ???
Nearly three decades of data and this pattern hasn't missed once
You were warned before the move...
🚨 WARNING: THIS PATTERN NEVER ENDS WELL
Most people won't see it until it's too late.
Every major rally follows the same script.
2020: → -36%
2022: → -28%
2024: → -21%
2026: → -??%
The next correction begins in July.
I publicly called the 2022 stock market crash and Bitcoin's $126K top in 2025.
If you missed those calls, don't miss the next one.
Follow and turn notifications on.