Everyone talks about AI enabling the "one-person Hollywood studio." I spent the last two months putting that to the test. The result? A full, 2+ hour feature film. Introducing "The Four Classics." Using @suno, @soraofficialapp , @grok Imagine 1.0, and Genie 3 by @GoogleLabs , I adapted China’s greatest literary epics into a sprawling, cyberpunk hip-hop opera. Grab some popcorn. Welcome to the future of AI film production. 🍿🎥 Timestamps: Water Margin 0:00:09 “The Tiger (十八婉)”- Wu Song rejects the law and engages in a drunken battle defeating the Tiger 0:03:20 “Forced to the Mountain (逼上梁山)”- Lin Chong seeks revenge on Gao Qiu for destroying his life and familial honor 0:09:24 “Black Whirlwind (黑俊峰)”- Introduction of the brute Li Kui and his love for violence 0:11:42 “The Gathering / 108 (大聚义)”- The Liangshan heroes formally assemble to announce their reign at the Hall of Loyalty and Righteousness 0:14:08 “The Amnesty (招安)”- Song Jiang, leader of the heroes, debates the pros of accepting an offer of Amnesty from the Emperor 0:18:05 “The Poison Wine (神聚蓼儿洼)”- Song Jiang encourages Li Kui to join him in drinking Poisoned Wine gifted by the Emperor Romance of the Three Kingdoms 0:22:20 “The Oath (桃园)”- Liu Bei is a small time hustler with ambition to take over the nation. He makes a blood oath with Guan Yu and Zhang Fei to do so. 0:25:57 “The Mastermind (卧龙)”- Liu Bei recruits the strategist Zhuge Liang to join his cause and take over the kingdom 0:30:49 “The Burden (​仁义)”- Caocao’s troops attack causing Liu Bei and Shu to flee south. Liu Bei burns the city of Xinye and uses common people as human shields to make his escape. 0:33:44 “The License (挟天子)”- Caocao plans his move to crush the growing nation of Shu from his penthouse 0:36:45 “No Regrets (​宁负)”- Flashback to Caocao’s betrayal of his ally Old Lu. He chooses to massacre a banquet after hearing the sound of knives sharpening. An examination of ruthless ambition. 0:39:59 “The Flex (​八十万)”- Caocao’s army of 800k soldiers races south to destroy Liu Bei’s Shu. 0:43:26 “The Estate (​江东)”- Sun Quan, leader of Wu, forms an unlikely alliance with Liu Bei to quell the approach of Caocao’s army 0:47:27 “The Shift (东风)”- Zhuge Liang summons the East Wind to change the fate of Caocao’s army at the Red Cliffs 0:51:15 “The Chains (​连环)”- Pang Tong of Shu deceives Caocao into chaining his fleet of ships together setting the perfect trap 0:54:37 “Symphony No.7 (​​第七交响曲)”- General Zhou Yu of Wu sparks the trap set by Shu strategists lighting Caocao’s entire fleet ablaze. The Epic Battle of the Red Cliffs concludes Caocao’s push south. 0:59:25 “The Split (​​三分)”- Opening Credits. Sima Yi reviews the status of the Three Kingdoms after The Red Cliffs result in an uneasy truce. 1:02:23 “Still G.U.A.N.”- Following the war, Guan Yu runs operations in Jingzhou. Sun Quan sends a formal message requesting Guan Yu’s daughter marry his son strengthening the alliance. Guan Yu promptly refuses insulting the leader of Wu. 1:05:58 “The Statue (刮骨)”- After an assassination attempt, Guan Yu is struck with poison that makes its way into his bone. He requires immediate, invasive surgery. He survives through his grit, maintaining his arrogance, but weakened from the procedure. 1:09:42 “The Funeral (白衣)”- Guan Yu is ambushed by Wu’s forces after retreating to the mountains of Maicheng. The Wu assassins approach as merchants, disguised in white clothing, catching Guan Yu by surprise. 1:13:19 “The Lie (桃园)”- Liu Bei receives news of Guan Yu’s death and sets out on a war path against Wu. He loses his composure leaning into pills to cope with the loss of his blood brothers. 1:17:08 “The O.D. (七百里)”- Liu Bei’s madness leads him to make a fatal strategic error. He stretches his army thin in a 700 mile long “snake” formation. 1:20:32 “The Boomarang (​回旋镖)”- Liu Bei’s army burns to ashes in a brutal defeat reminiscent of his triumph at the Red Cliffs. 1:23:46 “The Flop (​扶不起)”- Zhuge Liang tries to pick up the ashes of Shu nation by educating Liu Bei’s son Adou. Adou is too busy enjoying his life and inherited wealth to bother with the burden of leadership. 1:27:48 “The Frequency (​空城)”- Cornered by the army of Wei led by Sima Yi, Zhugeliang employes the empty city strategy to outsmart his rival. 1:31:12 “The Flatline (​五丈原)”- Zhuge Liang tries to outlive his corporeal form to ensure the longevity of the nation of Shu and prevail in the war. 1:34:33 “The Liquidation (​归晋)”- Sima Yi consolidates control of the Three Kingdoms and unifies China under Wei. Journey to the West 1:38:20 “Eight Trigrams Furnace (炼丹炉)”- A family flees the grind of life in China in search of “Freedom” offered by the American Dream 1:41:36 “White Bone Spirit (白骨精)”- The family experiences the demons and tribulations of modern American life in their struggle to assimilate 1:45:33 “Thunderclap Temple (雷音寺)”- The family realizes the truth of the Blank Scriptures. Dream of the Red Chamber 1:49:39 “顽石GENESIS BLOCK (Final Cut)” - Rejecting its status as a useless system glitch, the sentient Stone signs a smart contract to download its consciousness into the mortal avatar of Jia Baoyu. Trading the safety of eternal numbness for the sensory overload of a physical body, Baoyu logs into the simulation specifically to chase the lust, trauma, and "pain" of human existence. 1:54:17 “大观园THE GARDEN (HYPE HOUSE)” - Inside the simulation, Baoyu lives as the pampered admin of the Grand View Garden, a walled-off, hyper-capitalist echo chamber where the elite ignore the rotting code of the outside world. Surrounded by the Twelve Beauties, he gorges on digital excess and mindless consumption—literally "eating the rouge"—pushing the server to the absolute brink of failure. 1:57:45 “葬花DELETING ASSETS (THE CRASH)”- The manic party violently ends with a massive system crash, forcing Baoyu to watch the algorithmic destruction of his decadent world. Amidst the digital decay, his tragic soulmate Lin Daiyu desperately tries to save the pure, beautiful files of their love, burying her fragile memories to protect them from the corrupted stream before she is permanently deleted. 2:01:09 “白茫茫WHITE NOISE (LOGOUT)”- The corrupted simulation undergoes a complete format, wiping out the Jia family's vast digital empire and leaving nothing behind but a stark, quiet white wasteland.

$NVDA reports Q2’27 after the close. Options are pricing a 4.86% move, $250B in market value. Here is how NVIDIA traded one day after each of its last 12 reports: Q1’27: -1.8% 🔴 Q4’26: -5.5% 🔴 Q3’26: -3.2% 🔴 Q2’26: -0.8% 🔴 Q1’26: +3.2% 🟢 Q4’25: -8.5% 🔴 Q3’25: +0.5% 🟢 Q2’25: -6.4% 🔴 Q1’25: +9.3% 🟢 Q4’24: +16.4% 🟢 Q3’24: -2.5% 🔴 Q2’24: +0.1% 🟢

World Currencies vs. the U.S. Dollar One-Year Change As of June 30, 2026: 🇨🇴 Colombian peso: +19.2% 🇮🇱 Israeli shekel: +13.2% 🇭🇺 Hungarian forint: +8.9% 🇿🇦 South African rand: +8.1% 🇲🇽 Mexican peso: +7.7% 🇨🇳 Chinese yuan: +5.6% 🇦🇺 Australian dollar: +5.2% 🇧🇷 Brazilian real: +5.2% 🇲🇾 Malaysian ringgit: +3.1% 🇳🇴 Norwegian krone: +1.8% 🇨🇱 Chilean peso: +1.0% 🇪🇬 Egyptian pound: +0.8% 🇭🇰 Hong Kong dollar: +0.1% 🇦🇪 UAE dirham: 0.0% 🇶🇦 Qatari riyal: 0.0% 🇸🇦 Saudi riyal: -0.2% 🇷🇺 Russian ruble: -0.4% 🇨🇿 Czech koruna: -1.1% 🇸🇬 Singapore dollar: -1.7% 🇨🇭 Swiss franc: -1.8% 🇹🇭 Thai baht: -2.3% 🇸🇪 Swedish krona: -2.4% 🇪🇺 Euro: -3.0% 🇩🇰 Danish krone: -3.1% 🇬🇧 Pound sterling: -3.4% 🇨🇦 Canadian dollar: -4.1% 🇵🇱 Polish złoty: -4.2% 🇳🇿 New Zealand dollar: -6.8% 🇹🇼 Taiwan dollar: -8.2% 🇵🇭 Philippine peso: -8.2% 🇮🇩 Indonesian rupiah: -9.3% 🇮🇳 Indian rupee: -9.4% 🇯🇵 Japanese yen: -11.3% 🇰🇷 South Korean won: -12.6% 🇹🇷 Turkish lira: -14.6% 🇦🇷 Argentine peso: -18.9% Source: Deutsche Bank, Bloomberg Finance LP.

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Last wk, S&P/Nas/Mag7 +0.4%/+0.1%/-0.8%. Cooler inflation (CPI, PPI) & economic data (consumer sentiment, retail sales) but +5% oil steepened the yield curve but lowered odds of a rate hike. Looking forward, I continue to believe the impact of Agentic AI with the advent of OpenClaw on January 30th has at least a year to run: 1) Token production has gone up roughly ~7.5x from the end of January more than offsetting the nearly 50% token cost reduction seen since open-weight model usage started to take off in May. 2) Combined annualized run-rate revenues for OpenAI and Anthropic which ended last year at $29B seems to be around $100B currently with Anthropic getting profitable in Q2. 3) Capex from the Big6 hyperscalers accelerated from 84% y/y/ in CQ1 to 92% in CQ2 with forecasts for nearly 100% in Q3. But this is being supported by cloud revenue growth at the 3 Big Public cloud vendors of $AMZN $MSFT $GOOGL accelerating from 23% y/y in Q1:25 to 35% in Q1:26 to 43% in Q2:26. Arguable more important is public cloud operating margins expanded from 34% to 37% and 39% during those time periods. 4) The $500B financing deal backstopped by up to $125B from $NVDA adds even more lower cost money to fund AI capex spend for the non-hyperscaler players. Nvidia gained 0.5% last week. 5) The liquidation of Situational Awareness and retail accounts during July cleared out some of the frothiness in the AI related names In terms of negatives: 1) The cost of money (yields on government bonds) remain near the highest levels for the 30 yr tenor at 5.3% since 2007. 2) Given large scale offensive US military actions are seemingly off the tablein favor of financial sanctions, probably driven by current election polls, I now believe Iran is likely to hold the Strait of Hormuz hostage until past the US mid-terms. This would be akin to them releasing the US hostages in 1981 (they were held for 444 days) just hours after President Reagan was sworn in replacing Carter. There were severe financial sanctions then also. 3) Since 1990, which happens to be the Gulf War, from the end of July through November 9th, which covers the reaction to all mid-term results, the performance is worse than non mid-term years. For mid-term years the median S&P500 gain from 7/31-11/9 is 0.9% with gains 56% of the time but the median peak loss from 7/31 is 6.2% (intra-period median peak loss of 9.9%.) For non mid-term years the median gain is 2.7% from 7/31-11/9 with gains 59% of the time and the median peak loss from 7/31 is 3.5% (intra-period median peak loss of 5.2%.) This year with the momentum seen by the Socialists which are not big business friendly, I see more risk than normal. 4) The easy money on the AI technical rebound from oversold levels on 7/29 due to the forced sale by Situation Awareness is probably over. There were negative stock reactions to headline beat and raise earnings on both revs & EPS for AI infrastructure winners $CSCO (-8% for the week but still up +45% YTD), $AMAT (-6%/+97%) and $COHR (-14%/+77%). While negatives can always be found, their biggest crime was arguably their recent bounce from 7/29-8/7 of 8%, 24% and 71% respectively and their market beating YTD gains. In summary, I remain bullish. Even from the end of July through November 9th during mid-term years since 1990, the S&P has an additional median gain of 4.2% to its peak before giving some of that back closer to the election. Given some of the negatives, especially the reaction to solid earnings data, I would add some hedges back on further market gains and get more selective. Consumer discretionary hedges should also make sense if oil is higher for longer. I believe value should continue to accrue to the infrastructure layer which includes 1) the public cloud vendors such as Amazon, Microsoft, Google and 2) the semiconductor companies. $INTC, my favorite semi company, still gained 0.8% last week despite: 1) a $20B equity offering which causes ~5% dilution and 2) being up 178% YTD. This clears the funding overhang. All the best in the week ahead.

📌 VI. Trigger Matrix (V2.0 – Observation Status Log) Observation Item Current Value Threshold Status Consecutive Days/Trend Super-Capital Concentration Risk 9.3 8.0 ESCALATION ↑ 1 day (new) AI Governance Risk 8.8 8.0 ESCALATION ↑ 1 day (new) Resilience Ratio 0.63 0.70 ESCALATION ↑ 4 days US-Iran Deal Signing Status 接近 Formal Signing WATCH — Brent Crude Oil Price 3-mo low — THRESHOLD_CROSSED 1 day New Ebola Health Zone (DRC) Confirmed spread — THRESHOLD_CROSSED 3 days EU Accession Talks Launched — THRESHOLD_CROSSED 1 day Items Near Threshold (Elevated Observation): Observation Item Current Value Threshold Current Status • Formal signing of US-Iran deal 接近 Formal Signing ALERT • SpaceX market cap stability Above $2T Drop below $2T WATCH • OpenAI probe scope expands Multi-state Federal involvement ALERT • G7 Summit statements on AI & trade 即将 held Substantive regulatory共识 WATCH • Cross-border Ebola spread Risk rising First邻国 confirmed case ALERT • Clustered cases in fan zones No reports Confirmed cluster transmission WATCH --- 📅 VII. Key Observation List for the Next 72 Hours Grade A Observations (High Impact): Observation Item Potential Impact if Triggered 1. Formal signing of US-Iran MOU Geopolitical entropy pressure declines further, but execution risk仍需 assessed. 2. SpaceX market cap stability above $2T Test of sustainability for super-capital concentration narrative. 3. OpenAI probe expands to federal level Potential further upgrade to AI governance risk level. 4. G7 Summit statements on AI & trade First collective test of institutional response capacity. Grade B Observations (Medium Impact): Observation Item 1. Expansion of Ebola outbreak zone in DRC 2. Subsequent日程 for EU accession negotiations 3. Public health data during FIFA World Cup --- 📜 VIII. CRI Calculation Summary (V1.6) Variable Weight Risk Score Weighted Contribution V_capital 20% 9.3 1.86 V_tech 18% 8.8 1.58 V_inst 18% 8.1 1.46 V_geo 15% 7.5 1.13 V_human 10% 7.6 0.76 V_expansion 8% 7.9 0.63 V_market 6% 7.2 0.43 V_energy_price 5% 6.5 0.33 Total 100% CRI = 8.2 Calibration Notes: Added V_capital variable (weight 20%) to reflect super-capital concentration as a new structural risk dimension. V_tech上调 to 8.8 (AI governance race launch). V_geo下调 to 7.5 (US-Iran deal接近, declining war risk). --- 📌 IX. Structural Conclusion On June 13, 2026, the global civilizational system's Resilience Ratio remains below the 0.70警戒线 for the fourth consecutive day. What is most worth recording today is not war – but the first time in human civilization that private wealth approaches the GDP of a中等发达国家. When a single entrepreneur owns a satellite network, rocket system, AI platform, energy network, financial capital, and global data流入口, civilization is entering a new organizational form: Transitioning from nation-state-led civilization to platform-infrastructure-led civilization. If the core question of the 20th century was "How to constrain state power?", then the core question of the latter half of the 21st century may well become "How to govern super-platform power."

Tesla is still dominating. In the first half of 2026, they secured over 52% of the U.S. EV market. 1. Tesla: 52.3% — 242,100 units sold 2. Chevrolet: 6.1% — 28,267 3. Hyundai: 5.8% — 26,936 4. Cadillac: 4.7% — 21,855 5. Rivian : 4.7% — 21,770 6. Toyota: 4.7% — 21,767 7. Ford: 3.6% — 16,606 8. Kia: 2.7% — 12,627 9. BMW: 2.4% — 10,790 10. Subaru: 2.2% — 10,064 11. Honda: 1.8% — 8,407 12. Lexus: 1.7% — 7,814 13. GMC: 1.4% — 6,645 14. Lucid: 1.1% — 5,208 15. Volvo: 0.9% — 3,964 16. VW: 0.8% — 3,768 17. Mercedes: 0.6% — 3,010 18. Porsche: 0.6% — 2,967 19. Other Brands: 0.6% — 2,596 20. Nissan: 0.4% — 1,774 21. Audi: 0.4% — 1,697 22. Genesis: 0.1% — 560 23. Dodge: 0.1% — 534 24. Jeep: 0.1% — 418 25. Mini: 0.1% — 307 26. Acura: 0.0% — 108 (Data Via Cox Automotive Q2 2026 EV sales)

Top Overnight News Iran-backed Houthi rebels killed six people aboard a cargo ship in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on Tuesday, the first reported fatalities from attacks targeting Red Sea shipping in more than a year. CNBC Pakistan said the 60-day deadline for a US-Iran MoU may be extended, but the larger peace process has stalled. Earlier, Donald Trump said the US “totally” controls the Strait of Hormuz. Oil wavered. BBG President Trump is betting the pressure of sanctions and a naval blockade will force Iran to bend. But the country’s rulers are taking time-tested steps to keep their chronically battered economy functioning just enough to resist a drawn-out campaign. WSJ The oil market faces a severe supply deficit of 1.8 million b/d this quarter due to renewed Middle East conflict, despite high prices cutting demand by half to 1.6 million b/d, the IEA said. BBG US-Japan efforts to support the yen risk being undermined by tensions between Scott Bessent’s calls for BOJ tightening and Sanae Takaichi’s preference for accommodative policy, investors said. BBG CPI Preview: We expect a 0.19% increase in July core CPI (vs. +0.2% consensus), corresponding to a year-over-year rate of +2.47% (vs. +2.5% consensus). We expect a 0.05% increase in headline CPI (vs. +0.1% consensus), reflecting lower energy prices. Our forecast is consistent with a larger 0.26% increase in core PCE in July, reflecting a large increase in its portfolio management component. GIR Democratic socialist Francesca Hong’s loss in Wisconsin’s Democratic gubernatorial primary Tuesday night revealed limits to the far left’s power — and is undercutting the narrative of an emerging insurgency. Politico President Donald Trump is looking for new policy pledges he can present to voters ahead of the midterm election, according to a top economic aide and a former administration official, including potentially calling on Congress to cut capital gains taxes and create an exemption for certain home sales. BBG Oracle has drawn up plans for a new round of job cuts to reduce payroll as it racks up billions in debt to fund AI infrastructure, according to people familiar with plans. Business Insider

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