"AGI forecasters" and "AGI timelines" are mostly just cope for the fact that we already have AGI and it doesn't act like the instantly self-bootstrapping god-beings from 2000s sci-fi
AGI for everyone == UBI
Money distilled represents a call on future labor. The dollar you hold today is a deferred amount of future labor you can command (dwindling annually due to inflation.)
Agentic AI systems provide accessible labor at user command (for continuously declining amounts of energy input.)
Broadly accessible, indirectly monetized AI systems should become sufficiently powerful that they can provide for any person’s basic needs.
AGI is the UBI we’ve been looking for.
The AGI Bar in Beijing’s Zhongguan district has opened with an unusual concept – serve customers drinks as well as access to AI tools. #china# #beijing# #AI# #artificialintelligence#
like "agi", "alignment" is sufficiently ill-defined that it effectively has no objective meaning
which is why the word will serve as the seed for a plethora of incoherent thought-pieces and incompatible outrageous claims.
If Astra was AGI or the dawning of the Singularity would 9 execs have just quit OpenAI?
Would Nvidia have just dialed back its commitments to OpenAI?
Of course not.
The bullshit about OpenAI far exceeds the BS about any company I ever encountered.