Andrew McAfee spent this debate rejecting confident AI extinction forecasts. Then he named the thing that amazed him:
"I agree with you guys. AI is new, and the fact that AI is so these days is agentic."
"It goes off and does long chains of things on its own. After we give it some very, very vague, very short initial instructions, holy Toledo, it will spawn up a storm of agents and they will go off and kind of do their own thing, and they will grind."
"They will spawn lots of them. They will work for a long time. They will exhaust every possibility."
"With the experience I have with agentic AI, I'm just amazed at the tenacity and the doggedness of these things."
Moments earlier he had called the case for inevitable catastrophe "very far from a humble approach," made with "no large base of evidence to base any of this on." He is the skeptic here, on a panel with Roman Yampolskiy, Nate Soares and Ed Zitron, and this is his own experience of using the tools rather than a measurement.
What an agent does after a vague instruction is observable today; what it implies about the long run is the part still in dispute. You don't have to settle that argument to notice that "very short initial instructions" now buy a long unsupervised search, and to scope permissions accordingly.
- Andrew McAfee, Principal Research Scientist at MIT and co-director of the MIT Initiative on the Digital Economy, on The Diary Of A CEO (
@TheDiaryOfACEO).