Icelanders on Saturday will vote in a knife-edge referendum on whether to resume negotiations to join the European Union, reopening a debate that has taken on deeper significance in the wake of U.S. President Donald Trump’s Arctic saber-rattling. The question put to the Nordic nation of nearly 400,000 is simply: “Should Iceland resume accession negotiations with the European Union?” Read more:

Markets are balancing on a knife edge. From AI optimism and equity positioning to oil shocks, Fed uncertainty and geopolitical risks, Adam Pickett and Alex Saunders break down the forces pulling investors in opposite directions.

Two weeks out, the House looks gone and the Senate is on a knife edge. We asked an elections expert what it means for markets. @kkondik, managing editor of Sabato’s Crystal Ball at UVA, on this week’s US midterms preview. 5:08 why Trump’s approval is running more than double as bad as it was going into 2018 10:58 what the early vote is really signaling, and the mail-in trap most analysts get wrong 13:33 the seven Senate races that decide control, and the five red states in play 19:15 the three market scenarios, from a Republican hold to a Democratic sweep 21:38 the long-shot bipartisan move that could claw tariff authority back from Trump Watch the full episode on YouTube; link in the first reply. For live market commentary, calendars and news feeds, start a trial at #Midterms# #Elections2026# #StockMarket# #Investing#

Almost 53% of voters in Iceland have rejected reopening negotiations on joining the EU in a knife-edge referendum prompted by Donald Trump’s threats to annex Greenland