Royals DeFi Investigation -
@AerodromeFi / $AERO in 2026 - The Protocol That's Printing Cash Flow Regardless
If you caught my video on Aerodrome earlier this year, where I spoke about some core fundamentals like liquidity providing on the platform, I want to take it a step further today & keep it very similar to my recent
@pendle_fi recap, as this is also an analysis of what actually happened in Q1 and Q2 2026 for the leading DEX on Base.
The year started weak on paper.
Q1 2026 came in at around $18.3M in protocol revenue, down 46% from $34.5M in Q4 2025 & Q2 followed with ~$16.1M, a further 12% decline quarter over quarter.
While that looks significant, it definitely reflects broader market conditions rather than structural weakness within the protocol.
TVL followed a similar trend, sitting around $345M in Q1 and declining to roughly $310M in Q2, but besides that, activity remained strong, with monthly volumes consistently above $9B showing that underlying demand for liquidity on Base held up most of the time.
On the token side of things, AERO is currently trading around $0.51 with a market cap of $484M, but price action across Q1 and Q2 saw two notable drawdowns.
The first occurred at the start of the year, the second in early June, where AERO dropped from around ~$0.45 to ~$0.30.
Both moves looked very similar & were followed by relatively fast recoveries, with the token pushing back toward $0.50, which is roughly where it trades now.
Structurally, Aerodrome’s position has not weakened, more the opposite, as it continues to dominate Base DEX liquidity in a way comparable to how durable Uniswap controlled Ethereum mainnet in earlier cycles.
What is changing, are slowly the tokenomics & as well the expansion of the system is an ongoing priority.
Especially the
@VelodromeFi merge, which was announced in late 2025, seems to be part of this upcoming change.
For now the legacy ve33 model remains fully active for now, with AERO locking for veAERO, weekly gauge voting, emissions distributed accordingly, with fee accrual and bribes continuing to flow to veAERO holders, but the already announced switch to sAERO, in relation to the merge with Velodrome, could very likely be implemented this month, so definitely something to look forward to & be excited about.
On top of that, more than 190M AERO, which is more than 20% of the circulating supply, has already been bought back and locked through programs funded by protocol revenue such as the Public Goods Fund, Flight School, and Relay, which introduces not only a strong narrative for potential future investors, but as well establishes consistent mechanisms that remove supply directly from the market.
The result is a shift away from purely emission driven tokenomics toward supply reduction backed by real cash flow, a narrative which
@HyperliquidX definitely made big in the last months.
Looking ahead to Q3 and Q4, there are some things which could push the needle much further for Aerodrome, as the mainnet expansion, which will test cross chain liquidity at scale, particularly with MEV internalization live and also very much the upcoming expansions to Circle’s Arc environment puts Aerodrome again into direct competition with Uniswap, that’s why I am personally excited to see how this will play out for them.
But as mentioned, most importantly is the adoption of sAERO imo, which will determine whether the token fully transitions into a more active instrument or if the veAERO will be more sustainable in the end.
As a frequent user of the Base chain, it is even more exciting to see, Aerodrome expanding beyond base & positioning itself as a unified liquidity layer across major chains, with clear mechanisms to capture and retain value at the token level.
What do you think & are you bullish on $AERO further going into the future?
Aerodrome.