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🔸 Lumentum Holdings (LITEUSDT)
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What's moving pre-market
1. Iran sent its reply to the US peace proposal
2. Lumentum +5%, joining Nasdaq-100 on May 18
3. OKLO insiders dumped $49M before the decade peak
4. Moderna +9% on a confirmed US Hantavirus case
5. Iraqi crude tanker traverses Hormuz (despite the noise)
## Earnings Wrap-Up
### **AMD (Buy) | TP: $511**
* **Guidance slightly beat expectations ($11.2bn vs. $10.5bn Bloomberg consensus, Buy side $10.96b).
***Server CPU TAM** now projected at >35% CAGR. AMD’s leadership will be further strengthened by Venice and a diversified CPU portfolio.
***Progress on **MI455/Helios** remains on track.
* **Outlook:** Some investors were a bit cautious before the print; additionally, the frequent demand upward revision misled analysts’ near-term estimates. That said, the pause before the print could further boost the share price outperformance. Overall, we remain bullish
### **Lumentum (LITE - Buy) | TP: $1,168**
* **Slightly below** FY3Q revenue ($808m) slightly missed buy-side targets, and F4Q’s $985m below buy sides $1bn, though gross margins expanded to **47.9%**.
* **Key Drivers:** Laser supply remains structurally tight as demand outpaces capacity. OCS is gaining momentum via multi-year agreements.
* **Outlook:** While the FY4Q guidance led to a brief after-hours pull-back, earnings power is expected to scale dramatically into CY2027.
### **Supermicro (SMCI - Hold) | TP: $43**
* **Shares jumped 18% after hours following a strong Gross Margin beat.
* **Key Drivers:** Margin gains were driven by a better customer mix (enterprise) and fewer low-margin GB300s.
* **Outlook:** While margins are expected to remain elevated, the rating remains **Hold** due to uncertain top-line growth and limited visibility on new GB300 bookings.
$LITE Q3’26 EARNINGS HIGHLIGHTS
🔹 Revenue: $808M (Est. $809M) 🟡; +90% YoY
🔹 EPS: $2.37 (Est. $2.27) 🟢; +316% YoY
🔹 Gross Margin: 47.9% (Est. 45.2%) 🟢
🔹 Operating Margin: 32.2%
🔹 Cash, Cash Equivalents & Short-Term Investments: $3,172.3M
Q4 FY26 Guide:
🔹 Revenue: $960M (Est. $935M) 🟢; +100% YoY
🔹 EPS: $2.85-$3.05 (Est. $2.74) 🟢; +1% to +8% YoY
🔹 Operating Margin: 35.0%-36.0%
Other Metrics:
🔹 Series A Convertible Preferred Stock Issuance: Contributed approximately $2.0B to cash in March 2026
🔹 Acquisition: Business acquired in March 2026, details not disclosed
🔹 Restructuring Charges: $1.1M in Q3 FY2026 related to reduction in force
🔹 Cloud Light Escrow Settlement: $27.5M completed during nine months ended March 28, 2026
Commentary:
🔸 “Lumentum delivered an exceptional third quarter, with revenue growing 90% year over year to a record $808 million.”
🔸 “While our top line growth continues to garner headlines, the more impressive part of our recent performance has been our margin expansion.”
🔸 “In fiscal Q3, gross margin improved by 540 basis points on quarter and operating margin by 700 basis points.”