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Nominal retail sales bounced back in August, rising 6% y/y
Nominal works with companies across air, space, land, and sea — which means being where that work happens. We're opening a permanent Seattle office and growing the team there. More via @geekwire's @johnhcook
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BESSENT: FOR A NOMINAL AMOUNT, THE U.S. TREASURY WAS ABLE TO SIGNAL SUPPORT FOR JAPANESE POLICIES
US
Government Maturing nominal debt by year Bills and floaters on far left
Second stage flight to nominal orbit altitude and 26500 Km/H
Current Global Nominal GDP = ~ USD126 trillion, IMF April 2026 World Economic Outlook
China August economic data:
Retail sales (a nominal figure): 0.4% yoy
YTD fixed asset investment (a real figure): -7.2%.
Our domestic demand tracker has fallen to levels even below that during the Shanghai COVID-19 lockdown.
“What is unsustainable will not be sustained.”
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Plain speak guide for when to get (nominally) bullish on LT USTs:
Are higher rates & therefore higher interest expense leading to sharp cuts in Entitlements & Defense spending?
If yes, bonds are a buy. If no, bonds are a sell.
1 of these 3 are a bubble: Bonds, USD, or Boomers
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USA with an unusually large gap between nominal GDP growth rate and the 10yr yield DB
