Generic Ballot poll in Cook Political Report’s 18 Toss-Up House districts 🟦 Democrats: 47% 🟥 Republicans: 38% 2024 recalled: Trump 48-45 —— Districts: AZ-01 OPEN • AZ-06 • CA-22 • CO-08 • FL-25 • IA-01 • IA-03 • MI-07 • NJ-07 • NY-17 • OH-09 • PA-07 • PA-08 • PA-10 • TX-34 • VA-02 • WA-03 —— By Justice Research Group for Working Families Party | 7/26-27 | RV

🗳️With 9 days until Election Day, the vast majority of House toss-up (and recently toss-up) races are heavily favoring Democrats in prediction markets. @Kalshi implied margins (D minus R) across 23 current and recent toss-up districts: • 20 favor Democrats, 3 favor Republicans • 12 districts price a Democratic edge of 50+ points (CA-22, AZ-06, OH-07, VA-02, TX-34, NC-11, TX-15, CO-08, NC-01, PA-08, WI-03, OH-09) • The R-leaning three: MT-01, KY-06, TX-35 The six districts Cook Political Report moved from toss-up to lean Democrat on Friday (AZ-06, CO-08, NC-11, TX-34, VA-02, WI-03) had all been pricing a Democratic edge on Kalshi for weeks beforehand, and now sit at 55-78 point implied margins. This chart and much more updates live on our election dashboard.