Predictions for when we’ll get the first “dark swarm”? (A cluster of open source AIs, running covertly on multiple clouds in a distributed way, acting autonomously and maintaining itself). Seems to me like it is technically possible now, and very likely within the next year.

Predictions for later this year. US forces land in the Strait of Hormuz to seize key islands/coastlines as Iranian threats target US leadership & Trump. A full IRGC Regime fall will not happen for another year but will happen before Trump leaves office. As America tries to control China by cutting off Iran's oil, China will lead to full closure of the Panama Canal. These closures will trigger global trade paralysis. Given European harvest failures and closures, we will see severe global fuel & commodity shortages.

Predictions Markets volume for $HOOD's Rothera platform (seen in white below) is still holding strong. Unlike other offerings aside from Polymarket and Kalshi, this offering is unlikely to fade as Robinhood owns the distribution layer. They're going to capture market share.