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Crossroads
@Dr_Crossroads
Investment enthusiast. Driven by faith, family, and the conviction that the best is yet to come. YouTube
399 Following    34.3K Followers
Strategy Sells BTC, Hynix comes to the US, AI race HEATS up | Bootleg Weekly
$MSTR The problem with Strategy's $STRC is there's no native yield mechanism within Bitcoin, and when a relentless accumulator begins to sell, even if it is a small amount, it shakes shareholder confidence. IF they were intent on selling, the better strategy might have been using the proceeds to buy back STRC since it's well off the $100 par value vs selling to uphold the dividend.
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Strategy has sold 3,588 $BTC for $216 million to fund dividends on our Digital Credit securities. As of 7/5/2026, we hodl ₿843,775 in our BTC Reserves and $2.55 billion in our USD Reserves.
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$PLTR This is an excellent piece on Palantir by Emir on Karp's FCF target. The implications? Massive upside.
$PLTR OMG. NEW FAIR VALUE: $341 That's my new estimate after Alex Karp's comments on CNBC, targeting $15-18 billion in FCF in two years. It looks like an INSANE fair value until you unwrap what $15 billion in FCF entails. I explain everything here:
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Sunday overnight is 🟢. Data center plays are 🟢🟢.
$HOOD Let me try this again: IF the month for Robinhood ended yesterday, they will have SMASHED many ATHs. These are the projections for Q2 based on where things stood as of yesterday. ATH in Options Contracts (274m). Again, this assumes 0 from Jun 26-30.
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On the $NBIS deal in Spain, I made a VERY unclear post calling it "massive," but I didn't mean the size (mw vs gw). What I meant was the implications (see below), not the size itself. Looking back, it was definitely unclear on my end. Sorry about that!
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Not massive in size. That was confusing for me to post. It's massive because $NBIS is the exact company that is going to thrive in this anti-US tech angst that has come over the EU. We've seen them with similar UK and Finland agreements over the past few months, and I believe they are, more than any other company, going to dominate Europe's inference demand. This is also unlikely to be disrupted no matter what the plans of $META etc are, due to the anti-US tech wave. When I initially invested with Nebius, that was part of my thesis, though at the time the company was primarily focused on the US.
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Not massive in size. That was confusing for me to post. It's massive because $NBIS is the exact company that is going to thrive in this anti-US tech angst that has come over the EU. We've seen them with similar UK and Finland agreements over the past few months, and I believe they are, more than any other company, going to dominate Europe's inference demand. This is also unlikely to be disrupted no matter what the plans of $META etc are, due to the anti-US tech wave. When I initially invested with Nebius, that was part of my thesis, though at the time the company was primarily focused on the US.
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Predictions Markets volume for $HOOD's Rothera platform (seen in white below) is still holding strong. Unlike other offerings aside from Polymarket and Kalshi, this offering is unlikely to fade as Robinhood owns the distribution layer. They're going to capture market share.
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$NBIS There's an insane amount of demand out there. Case in point, this MASSIVE agreement in Spain with Nebius.
$NBIS SIGNS 18 MW CAPACITY AGREEMENT IN SPAIN 🇪🇸 Spanish newspaper El Mundo reported that Nebius agreed to the capacity with Merlin in Madrid This marks the 5th European country Nebius will plant its flag
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Will Meta KILL NBIS and CRWV? Plus PLTR Stock | Fiesta Friday
$AEHR has been crushed today. My price Target entering the year was $70 and I didn't see a reason to change it. It looks fair value here for me. I'm not adding but if it keeps falling I am definitely open to adding more.
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$FIGR these are up a little bit as well. I don't know why the market gave such a discount on Figure, but it gave me the opportunity to add some options.
$HOOD Validation on NOT selling covered calls this week. Let's go!!
$HOOD This is one of the weeks where I'm not selling covered calls on Robinhood. Their World Is Flat event is this week, and we usually see a nice little pop around these events. Couple that with some very healthy stock price action and a number of underlying catalysts that I don't think that the market is fully priced in, and I would rather punt this week.
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$CRWV Bought a lot at the open. Had to sell some things to add extremely aggressively. $120 leaps for Dec '28. Also one minor short-term bet.
$CRWV The $META fears are overblown. I'll be adding aggressively (via options) to CoreWeave. Here's why: 1⃣ CoreWeave's $35b contracts with Meta are through Dec 2032. These are explicitly take-or-pay. This is guaranteed revenue. 2⃣ These are just rumors of selling "excess" capacity. Per Zuck in May, companies were "asking if we have compute that they could buy from us at some premium to what we've bought it at." IE, this is them selling capacity they bought from NBIS and CRWV at a premium, if they have extra. 3⃣ META is constrained already. Google limited Meta's usage of Gemini back in March, which likely led to the two contracts with Nebius and CoreWeave over the following 45 days. 4⃣ Even IF Meta does a pivot and begins a data center play, their model (per the rumors) appears to be AWS-like. Per the Bloomberg report, "Meta would run the data centers and chips that power the models, including its own Muse Spark models, and charge developers to access them." If this goes wildly successful for Meta, you know what they'll need beyond 2032? Compute. Lots of it. Likely more than they are able, willing, or wanting to build out. What kind of compute will you want in that scenario? Bare metal compute. IE, CoreWeave.
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$CRWV The $META fears are overblown. I'll be adding aggressively (via options) to CoreWeave. Here's why: 1⃣ CoreWeave's $35b contracts with Meta are through Dec 2032. These are explicitly take-or-pay. This is guaranteed revenue. 2⃣ These are just rumors of selling "excess" capacity. Per Zuck in May, companies were "asking if we have compute that they could buy from us at some premium to what we've bought it at." IE, this is them selling capacity they bought from NBIS and CRWV at a premium, if they have extra. 3⃣ META is constrained already. Google limited Meta's usage of Gemini back in March, which likely led to the two contracts with Nebius and CoreWeave over the following 45 days. 4⃣ Even IF Meta does a pivot and begins a data center play, their model (per the rumors) appears to be AWS-like. Per the Bloomberg report, "Meta would run the data centers and chips that power the models, including its own Muse Spark models, and charge developers to access them." If this goes wildly successful for Meta, you know what they'll need beyond 2032? Compute. Lots of it. Likely more than they are able, willing, or wanting to build out. What kind of compute will you want in that scenario? Bare metal compute. IE, CoreWeave.
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$PLTR Palantir continues its climb. It's up nearly 16% over the last 5 days, but it's still not expensive.
$KLAR / $GOOGL Google is being ordered to pay a massive fine to Klarna by Swedish courts. I wonder how much of this is due to a valid concern vs antagonistic sentiment towards big tech from the USA.
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$HOOD Here's everything that Robinhood announced at their World Is Flat event. - Robinhood Chain goes live! This was an announcement I expected, and I'm quite excited to see what this becomes! Part of the announcements also included perps added natively to the Robinhood chain, and those are going live in the EU. - Stock tokens (expanded and updated) are now live in 120 countries via Robinhood's wallet. Maker / Taker orders are also available at rates as low as free (25m volume) and .03% on the taker side. The ability to have rates this low is due to their vertical integration. - Robinhood Earn This is a ~7% APY yield on their (partnered) stablecoin project $USDG. It's insured as well. There were also updates on international expansion, including crypto trading (reinstated) in the UK soon, Canada's expansion and fees (via WonderFi acquisition), and the MAS license in Singapore.
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My portfolio is violently flat today. $CRWV and $AEHR are down big. $PLTR, $HOOD, $FIGR, $WIX and $BMNR are up big. It's the most violent flat day I can remember.
$META Rumors (which shouldn't be surprising) of Meta building a cloud business to sell excess AI capacity have shocked the data center plays. However, from the article itself, it seems the markets misunderstood the rumors. The key is "excess," which sounds similar to SpaceX overbuilding for what they immediately needed and selling capacity beyond that. A quote from Zuck from earlier in the year seems to confirm this. 'We haven't done that yet, because we think ​that we ⁠have a use for the compute. But obviously, if we get to a point where we feel that we have overbuilt, then ⁠that ​is an option that we have, and ​that is partially what gives us confidence in investing in building this out." Until we know more, this seems like an overreaction.
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