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Tweets including Septum
September was such a bull trap month
It seemed like the AI trade could get some legs again after a terrible July
So many jumped back in with leverage after exiting at a loss or getting outright liquidated
All for another July-esque dump in October
Ruthless market.
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September core PCE #inflation# came in hot on a 3-month annualized basis …+2.9% vs. +2.2% prior
September personal savings rate down to 3.8% ... first time with a 3-handle since 2022
September goods trade deficit widened to $134.9B vs. $130.2B est. & $132.1B in prior month … imports +2.4%; exports +2.6%
September's PCE release will be an important indicator of the direction of U.S. inflation, as the outlook continues to be shaped by energy volatility, tariff pass through and services inflation.
Our PCE report and forecast will be available tomorrow.
👀 on FOMC.
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September new home sales fell -0.6% m/m vs. -4.5% est. & +5.1% prior (revised down from +6.4%) … median new home price +3.9% m/m to $400,400; average selling price at $472,800
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September core goods orders +0.5% m/m vs. +0.7% est. & +1.6% prior … core cap goods shipments +1.2% vs. +0.8% est. & +0.6% prior
September durable goods orders +1.8% m/m vs. +1.9% est. & +0.1% prior … orders ex-transportation +0.5% vs. +0.6% est. & +0.3% prior
September pending homes snapshot from @nardotrealtor
September pending home sales -7.3% m/m vs. -0.5% est. & +0.3% prior … index level dropped to a record low
