The current crypto market is bad. Sentiment is extremely bearish.
So we checked the full historical record and searched for the closest analogue.
16 metrics across 5 equally weighted blocks:
1. Volatility breadth: mean, median, 10% trimmed mean, and share of Top40 above 75%, 100%, and 150% annualized volatility.
2. Dispersion: P90−P10 volatility spread and the five most volatile coins’ contribution to total volatility.
3. Correlation: average pairwise Top40 correlation and average correlation to BTC, both over 30 days.
4. Downside: annualized negative-return semivolatility, average percentage of coins declining together, and frequencies of ≤−10% and ≤−20% daily returns.
5. Persistence: 30-day volatility-of-volatility and its coefficient of variation.
The strongest historical analogue for March–July 2026 is:
2023-05-20 to 2023-10-15
A low-volatility regime with very limited participation and almost no market interest.
What followed was a major expansion in volatility and momentum.
Top10 TVL DeFi project just paid out a bounty for a Low Severity vulnerability, found with pashov/skills v4
It's insane that such value is free & open source, I guess someone just wants to flex AI x Security skills superiority, enriching the web3 space in the meantime😎
This @VisualCap graphic ranks top 40 cities by GDP per person among those featured in 2026 Global Cities Index published by @OxfordEconomics; figures shown in U.S. dollars and calculated using each city’s 2025 GDP and population
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......
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