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July: 9-3 in favor of holding rates
September: 12-0 in favor of hiking rates
Warsh showing he is good at building consensus(?)
July: Leopold gets margin called, Citadel buys his portfolio in a fire sale, he tells investors "we let you down."
September 11: he's back, buying AI and memory options.
September 12: Amodei calls for the industry to slow down.
Today: every position down 5.7% to 9%.
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July consumer credit jumped $18.1B m/m vs. $11.3B est. & $14.6B prior, driven largely by an increase in non-revolving credit
July consumer credit up 4.2%; revolving credit up 2.5%; nonrevolving credit up 4.8% (SAAR):
July’s ballooning U.S. trade deficit (widest since March 2025) was driven primarily by a surge in imports of capital goods, a category which houses AI-related products such as computers, computer accessories and semiconductors … 11.4% m/m jump was largest increase since 1993
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July job openings increased to 7.271M vs. 7.313M est. & 7.182M prior (rev down from 7.359M)
JULY DATA: COLOMBIA'S OIL PRODUCTION DROPPED 2.46% YEAR-ON-YEAR TO 727,920 BPD – NATIONAL HYDROCARBON AGENCY
JULY DATA: COLOMBIA'S MARKETED GAS PRODUCTION DECLINED 9.41% YEAR-ON-YEAR TO 722 MLN CUBIC FEET PER DAY – NATIONAL HYDROCARBON AGENCY
July goods deficit widened sharply to $118.8B vs. $100.5B est. & $101.4B prior (rev. from $101.5B)
July personal savings rate bounced to a four-month high of +3.0%, up four percentage points from last month’s +2.6%
