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Markets are repricing inflation and rates: Brent >US$100, US 10Y at 5.1% (highest since 2007) and October hike odds ~64%.
For bitcoin:native, this dynamic is reflected in a stronger inverse correlation with Brent on selected macro event days: -0.53 vs -0.36 overall.
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MARKETS INCREASINGLY PRICE TWO MORE FED RATE HIKES AFTER GOVERNOR MICHAEL BARR SAID FURTHER TIGHTENING MAY BE NEEDED, WHILE IRAN’S PRESIDENT SAID TEHRAN WILL NOT ALLOW FREEDOM OF NAVIGATION THROUGH THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ UNDER SANCTIONS AND A U.S. BLOCKADE; THE U.S. IS ALSO WORKING WITH REFINERS ON VOLUNTARY LIMITS TO DIESEL EXPORTS.
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Markets are rapidly coming around to the reality that the Fed has a lot more work to do
Markets now price a 68% chance of a Fed rate hike in October 😳
Markets typically hate uncertainty, yet stocks keep grinding higher through geopolitical risk, AI unknowns, and election-year jitters.
But @JessInskip_ says volatility isn't the enemy. Like fire, it's the very thing that makes higher returns possible. 🔥
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"Markets want to believe in more escalation," says Deutsche Bank's Ozan Tarman ahead of President Trump's meeting with Xi Jinping. "My gut feeling is, a week from here, it may still be lots of talk and less action."
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markets moving like Warsh cut rates lol
Markets Look Juicy!
Do we think this Green Holds?
MARKETS REMAIN FOCUSED ON INFLATION AND INTEREST-RATE RISKS AFTER THE FED RAISED RATES LAST WEEK AND SIGNALED FURTHER TIGHTENING COULD BE NEEDED, WITH THE U.S. 10-YEAR TREASURY YIELD CLOSING JUST BELOW 5%, GOLD TRADING NEAR $4,370 AN OUNCE AND THE YEN AROUND 157 PER DOLLAR AMID THIN HOLIDAY LIQUIDITY IN JAPAN.
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