"A 100MW datacenter in China now costs under $300M to build, excluding IT equipment, about a fifth of the US cost. China's build cost has fallen about 25% since 2021."
@zerohedge SpaceX has a chance of going about half the GW next year of actually usable compute.
“Actually usable” is an important metric. It takes us ~2 months working 24/7 to get a large compute cluster working reliably. I’d guess closer to 6 months for others.
NEW Ramp AI Index: In October, AI spend rose 2%. OpenAI and Anthropic growth fell to low single-digits.
Engineering teams drove 72% of spend, followed by customer service and leadership.
Given this relatively modest growth in spend, and new competitive dynamics that may stick around, the markt should look to new fronts in the AI trade.
@KatieMiller I remember that time when Masa, instead of putting $12B into Tesla for a 1/4 of the company to help me take Tesla private, instead invested the money in WeWork.
That was dumb.
How much of each developer's data center pipeline actually gets built
Share of forward pipeline ranked by Bernstein as credible: META, MSFT, GOOGL, QTS, Vantage are top 5
Data Centers in pipeline, by company:
Amazon 33GW credible
Google 20GW credible
Meta 15GW credible
MSFT 10GW credible
QTS 9GW credible
Stack Infra 7GW credible
Vantage 6GW credible
Digital Realty 4GW credible
etc
Data Centers in pipeline, by company:
Amazon 33GW credible
Google 20GW credible
Meta 15GW credible
MSFT 10GW credible
QTS 9GW credible
Stack Infra 7GW credible
Vantage 6GW credible
Digital Realty 4GW credible
etc
Who is actually building data centers:
Hyperscalers: 42% of credible pipeline (of 199GW)
Colocation: 34% of credible pipeline
Cryptominer pivots: 4% of credible pipeline
Neoclouds: 4% of credible pipeline
Others: 17% of credible pipeline
Who is actually building data centers:
Hyperscalers: 42% of credible pipeline (of 199GW)
Colocation: 34% of credible pipeline
Cryptominer pivots: 4% of credible pipeline
Neoclouds: 4% of credible pipeline
Others: 17% of credible pipeline
Data Center breakdown:
Under construction: 75GW Credible vs 87GW total
Announced: 123GW Credible vs 497GW total
Forward total: 199GW Credible vs 586GW total
(source Bernstein)
Data Center breakdown:
Under construction: 75GW Credible vs 87GW total
Announced: 123GW Credible vs 497GW total
Forward total: 199GW Credible vs 586GW total
(source Bernstein)