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Oil refiners are making historic profits. The 3-2-1 WTI refining margin is up to a record $59 per barrel. This is a key metric of how much profit refiners generate from turning crude oil into fuels like gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel. Refining margins have nearly tripled since the start of 2026. By comparison, this metric average ~$10 per barrel between 1985 and 2021 and never exceeded $30 per barrel during the 2004-2008 refining boom. The surge reflects a severe shortage of global refining capacity, as the Iran War, attacks on Russian refineries, and lower fuel exports have tightened supply. As a result, an estimated ~10% of global refining capacity, or ~8 million barrels per day, is offline, keeping gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel prices elevated even with crude oil trading ~$40 per barrel below its March high. World refiners are cashing in on a tightening oil market.
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🇨🇳BREAKING: China slashed oil imports by 5.5 MILLION barrels per day during the Iran war and single-handedly shaved $30 off global oil prices. That is a bigger demand cut than the entire world made during COVID, except China's GDP kept growing through it, per The Economist. Beijing used three levers: it drew down 150 MILLION barrels of reserves, halved fuel exports, and pushed citizens onto trains and EVs while infrastructure projects were paused. One oil trading executive put it simply: "China is the new OPEC."
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BP expects its oil trading result to be slightly higher in the second quarter after an exceptionally strong first quarter, as it continues to profit from a surge in oil prices caused by the Iran war. More here:
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BREAKING: Saudi Aramco has cancelled all of its September European crude oil allocations and is scrapping every cargo slated for late-September loading onward, with a European lifter saying no Saudi oil cargoes at all until November, per initial reports citing oil trading firm Onyx and market sources. That takes the world's largest exporter out of the European market for the rest of September and all of October, a de facto force majeure on Saudi crude to Europe from the 3rd largest energy producer in the world.
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CME CEO: Hyperliquid Is Driving U.S. Markets Toward 24/7 Trading On August 20, CME CEO Terry Duffy said at a CFTC meeting that CME wants to launch a 24/7 oil trading market in the U.S., because similar markets on decentralized finance platforms are already beginning to influence traditional finance. He noted that even if these markets are not legal for U.S. participants, users can still access them through VPNs, and their impact on traditional financial markets is already being felt.Duffy believes 24/7 trading will eventually become the norm across financial markets.
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China moves petroleum markets with three main levers. Register for free to learn how it has used them to become what one oil-trading boss calls “the new OPEC”
On paper, @Uniswap built the better launchpad on Robinhood Chain. Trading there costs 4x less, the tech is newer, and they've got the biggest distribution in DeFi behind them. Yet a launchpad called @ponsdotfamily is still outtrading them 3 to 1 on Robinhood. What's going on? Why this war matters This is all happening on @RobinhoodCrypto's own chain, and a lot of people expect Robinhood to be the Solana of next season. The early numbers back the hype: • 2.6M+ daily transactions • 200K+ daily active addresses • $300M+ in daily DEX volume Launchpads drive a big chunk of that activity. Everyone watched print on Solana last cycle, so if Robinhood really is the next home chain, whoever owns its launchpad owns one of the best businesses of the cycle. The incumbent Pons wasn't even the first king here. A launchpad called NOXA dominated the early days until it abruptly stopped issuing tokens on July 11, and Pons absorbed the entire market within days. At its peak, Pons processed 1.65M trades in a single day, more than half of all transactions on the whole chain. The challenger Then @Uniswap decided it wanted the market for itself. What's ironic is Pons is built on Uniswap's own rails, and Uniswap had featured it in their launchpad aggregator just six days before launching @TradePools to compete with it. This wasn't a quick money grab, it's a solid product: • Trading costs 0.25% instead of the 1% Pons charges • Fees compound straight back into each token's locked liquidity • Every token plugs into Uniswap's entire distribution surface on day one Hayden Adams framed it as a bet that users "will prefer quality tech and a level playing field." You'd expect Pools to eat this market inside a week. The result And for about 48 hours, it looked like they would. Pools out-launched Pons on day one, 10,506 new tokens against 7,210, and grabbed roughly half of all launchpad volume on the chain. Then attention shifted back home Six days in, Pons is back to around $50M a day while Pools sits near $15M, and not one of those ten thousand tokens has crossed a $10M market cap. Only two have even crossed $1M. Distribution bought Uniswap a spike in attention, but it couldn't buy retention. What actually wins So what's going on? Follow the money. Run $1M of volume through each platform: • Pons collects $10,000, hands $7,000 to the token's creator, and burns PONS with most of the rest • Pools collects $2,500, and the creator gets $500 if they even turned the fee on A creator earns 14x more per dollar of volume on Pons, and that one number explains everything. The 1% fee everyone calls extractive is really Pons paying its supply side. Creators shill their coins every day because their income depends on the volume, and holders evangelize because every trade burns PONS. Uniswap built the perfect product for traders and forgot that traders follow attention instead of creating it. So Pools got ten thousand tokens from people with zero reason to promote them past hour one, while Pons kept the tokens people actually fight over. The takeaway Launchpads are ATTENTION businesses, and the tech is table stakes. Pools is six days old, so this war isn't over, but winning it means out-paying Pons for the people who bring the crowd, not out-engineering them. So next time a launchpad war breaks out, skip the feature comparison and look at who's getting paid to fill the room. "Show me the incentives and I'll show you the outcome"
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