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Retail investors who spent the past week loading up on semiconductor stocks at the center of the artificial intelligence trade are getting pummeled amid Thursday’s rout
Retail Investors Keep Buying Despite Bearish Mood
Retail has been loading the $NBIS dip. Net buyers for 8 straight days.
Retail sales up in September - but a big chunk of spending went to an essential bill
Retail sales rose 0.8%, but the control group, which excludes autos, gasoline, building materials and restaurants, edged up just 0.1%. Underlying spending was much softer than the headline suggested.
Retail investors are starting to head into money market funds (safety). Usually this means either two things: 1. Markets continue to explode higher to punish those that sold 2. Markets do pull-back, but it's not a crash; crashes only happen when people least expect it (too many people are prepared)
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Retail sentiment is extremely low. Google searches for "Stocks To Buy" are down by ~50% since the start of June. This aligns perfectly with the start of the sell-off in AI supply chain companies.
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Retail giant Ahold Delhaize, one of the world's largest food retail chains, confirmed today that it was forced to take some systems offline after a "cybersecurity incident."
Retail spending remains robust … though down from its summer peak, year/year growth in Johnson Redbook Retail Sales Index is up 8.6% for week ending Oct. 3
Retail investors are extremely bullish: Allocation to stocks among retail investors in the AAII survey rose +0.7 percentage points in September, to 71.8%, the highest level since December 2017. This also marks its 2nd-highest reading since July 2000. Since April, this figure has risen +3.3 percentage points, its largest 5-month increase since October 2025. To put this into perspective, average retail exposure to stocks since 1987 is 71.8%. Meanwhile, allocation to cash fell -1.0 percentage point last month to 13.3%, its lowest since December 2017. At the same time, allocation to bonds rose +0.3 percentage points, to 14.9%, remaining below its average of 15.9% since 1987. Appetite for risk among retail investors is through the roof.
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