Employment Friday delivered mixed signals. Non-farm payrolls beat expectations at 117k, but household employment fell for the third straight month. Manufacturing is picking up. Services are lagging. Historically, one follows the other. The US budget deficit is shrinking despite massive tax refunds flowing to corporations and individuals. That tells you the economy is probably stronger than the headlines suggest. Truflation has core Consumer Price Index (CPI) excluding food and energy at 1%. Producer prices are running above consumer prices, which usually happens when consumers push back on price increases. We think inflation will surprise to the downside over the next 6 to 9 months. Oil is the wildcard, but supply is growing fast. Capital spending has broken out of a 30-year range. AI is pulling old-guard names like Cisco, Corning, and Akamai back into growth. The manufacturing buildout is real and broadening. The innovation equity space has been frustrating this year. We've been selectively adding to innovation positions. We think the selloff in innovation stocks will clear as the economy turns. From where we sit, the economy is healthier than the headlines suggest, inflation is lower than people fear, and the innovation cycle is accelerating. Watch “In The Know” for Cathie Wood’s full economic breakdown.