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付鹏的财经世界
@fupenglondon
Bitfire Group首席经济学家 Avenir Capital首席经济学家 《见证逆潮》《见证联动》作者 华尔街见闻《付鹏说》专栏 作者 原东北证券首席经济学家 对冲基金首席策略官 运营:715传媒 & 全天候型メディア
Joined March 2013
300 Following    48.8K Followers
Liquidity tightening impacts asset markets through both the price channel (P, such as rising financing costs due to interest rate changes, as seen in the rapid interest rate hike cycle of 2022) and the quantity channel (Q, such as reducing market liquidity through quantitative tightening (QT)). Over the past six months (roughly from September 2025 to March 2026), the cumulative effect of QT has initially pressured overvalued assets, such as stocks, bonds, and certain technology or AI-related sectors, leading to amplified market volatility. If the SRF rebounds at the end of March or reserves continue to decline, signs of liquidity tightening will become more pronounced. This dynamic often precedes asset price fluctuations by approximately 90 days.
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