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Marcos Agustín
@marcosagusstinn
President, @reieurope | Center for European economic policy, security and foreign affairs.
Joined January 2025
7.5K Following    10.9K Followers
The 2022 energy shock massively accelerated nearly every major weakness in the European economic model. Before the war: → ~55% of German gas imports came from Russia → The eurozone ran a current account surplus of roughly ~3% of GDP → Germany’s industrial model depended on cheap imported energy + export manufacturing → Europe imported nearly 60% of its total energy needs from abroad Even in 2025–2026: → EU industrial electricity prices remained over 2x U.S. levels for energy-intensive sectors → The eurozone current account collapsed from a pre-war surplus of roughly ~3% of GDP into near-balance/deficit in 2022, before only partially recovering to ~1.7–2.0% by 2025 → German industry continued facing structural stagnation, weak industrial output and competitiveness pressure Europe’s long-term priority must be energy sovereignty through electrification, renewables, nuclear, storage, hydrogen and pan-European grid interconnections to reduce external energy dependence well below 25% over the next 15–20 years. This is why Europe’s single most important long-term strategic priority is energy sovereignty. There is no more fundamental issue than this.
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