⚠️Hantavirus update.
So now there is an 8th case in Switzerland (ship passenger that disembarked early, not particularly unwell).
The French ‘case’ isn’t a real case, he is simply a contact for now who was on the flight to Johannesburg with the sick Dutch case (we will need to wait 8 weeks to see if he becomes symptomatic and tests positive).
Further cases are not unexpected though.
Current cases remains early generation H2H spread on ship.
We can expect a few second or third generation cases from flights or healthcare facilities where these patients are treated.
My previously reviewed article from
@NEJM documents the person-to-person transmission dynamics in the Argentina outbreak:
34 cases, 11 deaths, four generations of human-to-human transmission.
This virus has very low pandemic risk, it’s too deadly and it’s R0 with isolation is far too low.