Allium(@AlliumLabs):A month before the US midterms on Nov 3, prediction markets favor Democrats to win both the House and the Senate. Traders give Democrats a 92% chance of taking the House and 64% for the Senate: - Most Senate races lean clearly toward one party, leaving control of the Senate to 8 swing races, where traders give neither party a 75% chance - Democrats lead in 5 of the 8, Republicans in 3 - The closest is Iowa, where Republicans are at 56% Full report:

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Allium@AlliumLabs

2026.10.07 16:55

A month before the US midterms on Nov 3, prediction markets favor Democrats to win both the House and the Senate. Traders give Democrats a 92% chance of taking the House and 64% for the Senate: - Most Senate races lean clearly toward one party, leaving control of the Senate to 8 swing races, where traders give neither party a 75% chance - Democrats lead in 5 of the 8, Republicans in 3 - The closest is Iowa, where Republicans are at 56% Full report: