Atlantis liquidity(@Atlantislq):I'm sure Clarity Act will be signed into law. But will it happen this year? Currently, Polymarket gives 39% odds for the Clarity Act signed into law in 2026 market. But I think the actual chances may be lower Senate Majority Leader said yesterday he didn't expect this to be passed before the August recess. However, that period was considered the most likely for signing. Because after that, the calendar gets much tighter and getting 60 votes becomes harder I see this scenario: buy NO rn at 39% odds, and then sell it after the end of the recess when odds become even lower You don't need to hold until resolution to earn. Capture the mispricing and hunt the next edge

2026.07.24 12:19

I'm sure Clarity Act will be signed into law. But will it happen this year? Currently, Polymarket gives 39% odds for the Clarity Act signed into law in 2026 market. But I think the actual chances may be lower Senate Majority Leader said yesterday he didn't expect this to be passed before the August recess. However, that period was considered the most likely for signing. Because after that, the calendar gets much tighter and getting 60 votes becomes harder I see this scenario: buy NO rn at 39% odds, and then sell it after the end of the recess when odds become even lower You don't need to hold until resolution to earn. Capture the mispricing and hunt the next edge