I think the NATO x Russia military clash market is significantly overpriced
Traders have pumped NATO x Russia military clash by Dec 31 odds up to 28%. It happened after reports that NATO had downed a Russian drone in Romanian airspace
I completely disagree with ppl who buy YES because the incident doesn't meet the rules criteria
Rules strictly exclude the interception of single-use strike drones aimed at a 3rd party and require a direct military x military confrontation. Not just the downing of stray munitions in airspace
Some YES holder refer to a recent case when China x Philippine military clash market was resolved YES with weak evidence. But this case is diff because the rules are much tighter
I see this as a great NO entry rn. You don’t even need to hold until Dec 31. Emotions will fade and odds will dump fast