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Ben Bajarin
@BenBajarin
CEO & Principal Analyst @creativestrat. Full-stack tech analysis from silicon to markets. Advisor to tech leaders. Technologist at heart. Keeper of Bees.
参加 April 2008
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On the potential of an NVIDIA HBM downspec (option) Our model suggests that a broad HBM downspec across NVIDIA’s Rubin portfolio could support roughly 30% to 50% more GPU shipments from the same available pool of HBM bits, assuming CoWoS and compute-die supply keep pace. If those GPUs are deployed, power becomes the next question. A 30% to 50% uplift on roughly 7 million Rubin units across 2027–2028 would add 2.1–3.5 million GPUs. At 2kW per accelerator, that implies roughly 4–7GW of incremental ex-China chip-level power demand across the two years, or about 2–3.5GW annually if deployment is evenly split. Current assumption right now in accelerator forecast, is we need to energize (global ex-China) 26 GW in 2027 and 32-35GW in 2028.
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