New Commentary.....
The CBOT Bond future is Negatively Convex such that a further rate rise could create the equivalent of Scott Bessent selling $110 Billion twenty-year bonds into the market.
Today, I detail the construction of this futures contract and posit that this could be a contributing factor to why interest rates have risen so quickly.
More specifically, be careful that 6% on the twenty-year rate could become a Convexity Vortex.
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