BREAKING: Big week ahead for the US. Lighter on data, heavier on risk events. Monday: ISM Services PMI at 10 AM ET. Forecast near 55. Last week's composite PMI hit 58.4. Hot services data pushes yields higher. Wednesday: September FOMC minutes at 2 PM ET. They won't include Friday's weak jobs data. The minutes cover the meeting where the Fed hiked unanimously. The Fed's own projections showed a "strong consensus" for just one more hike in 2026. Wednesday and Thursday: 10-year and 30-year Treasury auctions. Both now sit under the expanded buyback program. Last month's buyers' strike made these the real test. Weak demand sends yields higher. Thursday: jobless claims. Forecast near 200,000. Friday: University of Michigan consumer sentiment. Last reading hit 48.1. Conference Board confidence already hit its lowest since 2014. Fed speakers all week. Williams, Bowman, Logan, Musalem, Collins. Next week: CPI on October 14. First big inflation read before the October 27-28 FOMC. The setup going in: Goldman expects one more hike in December, maybe none. The 10-year sits near 5.24%. The 30-year hit 5.50% last week. Nasdaq futures positioning hit its most bullish level since 2017. Bitcoin trades above $85,000. Iran headlines can break any of this. Trump said Thursday Iran will "sign a deal or not exist." Four events decide the week: the minutes, two auctions, and the oil price.