🇺🇸 WHAT TO WATCH TODAY — U.S. MARKETS
8:15 AM ET — 🇪🇺 ECB Rate Decision
8:30 AM ET — 🇺🇸 PPI + Jobless Claims
8:45 AM ET — 🇪🇺 Lagarde Press Conference
10:00 AM ET — 🏠 Existing Home Sales
10:30 AM ET — 🔥 EIA Natural Gas Storage
12:00 PM ET — 🛢️ EIA Oil Inventories
1:00 PM ET — 🇺🇸 30-Year Treasury Auction
4:30 PM ET — 🏦 Fed Balance Sheet
After Close — 💻 Oracle + Adobe Earnings
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🔥 PPI — KEY EVENT
August producer inflation takes center stage ahead of Friday’s CPI and next week’s Fed decision.
A hot print could push Treasury yields and the dollar higher, while weighing on equities.
🇪🇺 ECB + LAGARDE
The ECB is expected to raise rates by 25 bps.
The bigger focus will be Lagarde’s guidance on inflation and whether further hikes are coming, especially with oil above $100.
🇺🇸 JOBLESS CLAIMS
Claims are expected around 205K vs. 206K previously.
A major surprise could shift the Fed outlook, although PPI will likely dominate the initial market reaction.
🏠 EXISTING HOME SALES
August sales are expected around 3.98M vs. 4.06M previously.
Watch for signs that elevated mortgage rates are putting further pressure on housing demand.
🛢️ OIL INVENTORIES
Crude inventories will be closely watched with Brent above $100 amid escalating Middle East tensions.
Oil remains a major input into the market’s inflation outlook.
🇺🇸 30-YEAR TREASURY AUCTION
A major test for demand at the long end after the recent global bond selloff.
The Treasury is set to sell $22 billion of 30-year bonds. Weak demand could put renewed upward pressure on yields.
💻 ORACLE + ADOBE
Both report after the close.
Oracle will be closely watched for AI infrastructure and cloud demand, while Adobe provides another read on AI monetization and enterprise software spending.
🎯 MAIN FOCUS: PPI → ECB/LAGARDE → 30Y AUCTION → OIL → ORCL/ADBE