The Fed’s Bizarre Gamble
One of the strangest, and most revealing, episodes in Federal Reserve history began in 2022. The zero-interest-rate regime was a response to COVID-19 and the pandemic recession, but after years of emergency policy and aggressive liquidity expansion, regional banks were left parking capital in long-duration Treasuries amid weak loan demand.
When the Fed then launched one of the fastest rate-hiking cycles in modern history, it was repricing a system it had helped create.
Warnings came early. By mid-2022, concerns were already building that further tightening could destabilize regional banks. It did not matter.
Chairman Powell, backed by a chorus of establishment economists, doubled down at Jackson Hole, where he said the Fed would use its tools “forcefully,” keep policy restrictive for some time, and accept “some pain” to restore price stability. That speech remains one of the most bizarre in recent memory because it signaled that tightening would continue despite visible financial fragility. The Fed’s bizarre gamble is now finally being investigated, as the new supervisory regime reopens the Silicon Valley Bank file.
The consequences were predictable. Duration risk crushed balance sheets, triggering a regional banking crisis that regulators appeared unprepared for. Strikingly, the only high‑profile banks that collapsed were deeply connected to crypto‑related deposits and clientele. For example, Silicon Valley Bank, whose failure Senator Cynthia Lummis is now urging new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh to investigate more fully.
This was not random; it reflected a broader mission creep at the Powell Fed, where hostility toward crypto and “innovation risk” became a political priority while basic supervisory risk, interest‑rate exposure and concentrated uninsured deposits, was effectively ignored.
Now, as scrutiny builds, Senator Elizabeth Warren is asking the Federal Reserve’s Office of Inspector General to open an investigation into the decision by the central bank’s vice chair for supervision, Michelle Bowman, to commission an outside review of the 2023 failure of Silicon Valley Bank. In other words, the anti‑crypto crowd is trying to cripple the very process that might expose how Powell‑era supervision failed.
Americans deserve answers about ignored warnings, regulatory breakdowns, and a central bank that strayed from sound money and prudential oversight into politicized crusades. A serious investigation led by Warsh and Treasury Secretary Bessent is needed.
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Silicon Valley Bank’s collapse shook confidence in our banking system — and Americans still deserve a full accounting of what happened. I’m glad Chairman Warsh has publicly committed to full Fed staff cooperation with this investigation. More to come soon.
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