FACTOR OPTIONS are this interesting experiment I have been working on for a while... never seen them offered anywhere ... makes a lot of intuitive sense to me as a risk manager & "option tourist"... will be rolled out to LIQN users on a board level in the coming weeks
Opens up a whole new surface ...
- what the market is paying for a themes move
- where the fear and greed sit
- Rich & Cheap lens for thematic factors
- upgrades the RISK model v4 we are testing internally... stay tuned
BTW... shorts squeezing
LIQN FACTOR OPTIONS (beta)
lets take a look at what options are telling us about FACTORS heading into FOMC ... another lens for Liquidation Nation
1. EVERY ONE OF THE "HF SHORT" BASKETS ARE PRICED TO SQUEEZE: 18 of 18 have calls more expensive than puts. Crowded & Beaten-Down: calls cost 23 pts more. Vol 37% above realized. That's a chase, and it's already in the price
2. CYBER & SOFTWARE are "cheap": Cybersecurity group prices vol at 0.75× what it realizes: AI Security 45% implied against 64% realized, Identity Security 37% against 52%, Cybersecurity 44% against 62%. Enterprise Software is 0.90×, with AI Monetizers at 0.66
3. The AI complex is where the dollars and the biggest priced moves are, and the dollars are all calls....Complete AI Stack traded $5.37B of options premium today...Vol itself is fairly priced across the AI groups at 1.0 to 1.05× realized, so this is size and direction
Good luck for Warsh