🚨🇺🇸 The polls have missed Trump voters in three straight elections. What if this time the miss runs the other way? Emily Jashinsky, host of @afterpartyemily and a Washington correspondent for UnHerd, says the MAGA case for Tuesday rests on the usual two point polling error in Republicans’ favor, and she thinks that bet is shakier than it looks: “Trump comes into office, prices go back up and we’re back in a war. Those may be the people who flipped.” Emily says the rural voters pollsters can’t reach are the same Obama-to-Trump voters who wanted anything but the status quo, so the hidden vote could cut toward Democrats this time. She points to Republicans themselves: they’re pulling money into Kansas and South Carolina, which means their own internals are saying something is wrong. Her forecast is the Senate gone and a real House loss, with Michigan’s Mike Rogers first on the list of candidates who blew it. @emilyjashinsky @WeTheBrandon