FOMC decision today.
Expected hold at 3.75–4.00% after September’s 25 bp hike. CME FedWatch shows ~90% odds of no change, with December hike probability still elevated (~75%+).
BTC has been chopping around $80–81k into the announcement (brief dip under $80k yesterday). The decision itself is largely priced—the real signal will be in Warsh’s presser and any dissent on the path from here.