๐๐๐๐๐ง๐๐ฅ $๐๐๐ง ๐บ๐ผ๐ผ๐ป ๐บ๐ฎ๐๐ต
As it appears, people love selling their ethereum:0x232ce3bd40fcd6f80f3d55a522d03f25df784ee2 bags. I wonder they realize what they're even selling. Let me tell you.
A US company below $1b market cap that is very likely to be the engine of many US perps exchanges, most notably Robin Hood.Even though I'm still buying, allow me to do some moon math on a lazy sunday afternoon.
As I said before, Lighter is undervalued based on both volume & revenue against its peers but I'm leaving that out of scope for this model.
๐ฆ๐ต๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ฎ๐๐๐๐บ๐ฝ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป๐:
- Perps get approved in US
- Robin Hood uses Lighter as engine in their app
- HYPE revenue multiple 23,92x
- Fee share 50/50, 1.2bps total (current) so 0.6 bps for Lighter
- U.S. monthly active users 12,69M
- 14.1m active users, share US = 90%
๐ข๐๐ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐๐ฐ๐ผ๐ฝ๐ฒ:
- Better monitization
- Growing the pie (Robin Hood users grow)
- Other integrations outside of Robin Hood
- Lighter launching options
- Growth Lighter platform on chain
Note from me: ๐ ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ข๐ญ๐ญ๐บ ๐ต๐ณ๐ช๐ฆ๐ฅ ๐ต๐ฐ ๐ฅ๐ฐ ๐ถ๐ฏ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ข๐ญ๐ช๐ด๐ต๐ช๐ค ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ฐ๐ฏ ๐ฎ๐ข๐ต๐ฉ, ๐ฃ๐ถ๐ต ๐ต๐ฉ๐ข๐ต ๐ซ๐ถ๐ด๐ต ๐ช๐ด๐ฏ'๐ต ๐ฎ๐ฆ. ๐ ๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ฅ ๐ต๐ฐ ๐ฅ๐ฐ ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ข๐ญ๐ช๐ด๐ต๐ช๐ค. ๐๐ฏ๐ฅ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ๐ด๐ฆ ๐ฏ๐ถ๐ฎ๐ฃ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ด ๐ข๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ข๐ญ๐ญ๐บ ๐ค๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ด๐ฆ๐ณ๐ท๐ข๐ต๐ช๐ท๐ฆ, ๐ข๐ด ๐ ๐ญ๐ช๐ฌ๐ฆ ๐ต๐ฐ ๐ถ๐ฏ๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ฑ๐ณ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ช๐ด๐ฆ ๐ข๐ฏ๐ฅ ๐ฐ๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ญ๐ช๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ. ๐ ๐ฅ๐ช๐ฅ๐ฏ'๐ต ๐ฆ๐ท๐ฆ๐ฏ ๐ถ๐ด๐ฆ ๐ค๐ช๐ณ๐ค๐ถ๐ญ๐ข๐ต๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐ฎ๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต ๐ค๐ข๐ฑ, ๐ฃ๐ถ๐ต ๐ข % ๐ฐ๐ง ๐๐๐. ๐ ๐ถ๐ด๐ฆ๐ฅ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ท๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ถ๐ฆ ๐ฎ๐ถ๐ญ๐ต๐ช๐ฑ๐ญ๐ฆ ๐ธ๐ฉ๐ช๐ค๐ฉ ๐ช๐ด ๐ฏ๐ฐ๐ต ๐๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต๐ฆ๐ณ๐ด ๐ฃ๐ฆ๐ด๐ต ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ต๐ณ๐ช๐ค.
What this table says, is that when Lighter gets integrated in the Robin Hood app (just that, really), would run ethereum:0x232ce3bd40fcd6f80f3d55a522d03f25df784ee2 to a $44 token price. Even considered a substantial increase in supply (125M) which will happen in ๐๐ฒ๐ฝ๐๐ฒ๐บ๐ฏ๐ฒ๐ฟ 2027.
I expect the unlocks to be okay too, given the nature of the investors (Thiel, Sacks, Robin Hood) who are not jeet crypto VC's who are hammering the sell button before the unlock (Thiel made $3292033029 gigillion SPCX, you really think he's gonna sell asap to recoup initials in the most pro-crypto US administration ever?
Just a Robin Hood app integration on perps.
No options.
No other platforms.
Just a base case.
Note: I hold ethereum:0x232ce3bd40fcd6f80f3d55a522d03f25df784ee2 but am not paid by them.
Be safe, use my ref:ย