Energy Abundance, AI Power & Data Centers, NBA, & Rap posts. Background in equity & credit markets, startups, & IB. Personal views. Not investment advice. DYOR.
Three claims I see on here 100x a day:
1) SpaceX has more compute than anyone. It should reach ~2 GW by year-end. AWS and Microsoft are each adding ~1 GW per quarter globally, with Google and Meta likely in the same range.
2) BTM can add 5–10+ GW annually. Yet SpaceX, supposedly the fastest BTM scaler, will reach ~2 GW after 1–2 years.
3) Anthropic is reliant on SpaceX. Anthropic disclosed >300 MW at Colossus I. SpaceX later said the agreement also covers Colossus II, but has not disclosed the total MW. Dylan Patel estimates Anthropic scales from <2 GW to >5 GW this year.
These claims do not reconcile!