Steven Ehrlich(@Steven_Ehrlich):But the real edge isn't volatility — plenty of months swing harder. It's asymmetry. When July is green it averages +43%; when red, just -5% (2020-2025). No other month pairs that much upside with that shallow a drawdown. That's what makes July different.

Steven Ehrlich

@Steven_Ehrlich

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Steven Ehrlich@Steven_Ehrlich

2026.07.10 11:42

But the real edge isn't volatility — plenty of months swing harder. It's asymmetry. When July is green it averages +43%; when red, just -5% (2020-2025). No other month pairs that much upside with that shallow a drawdown. That's what makes July different.