I came away from $ASTS earnings more bullish because the business is moving to actually building the network with revenue roughly doubling sequentially to $32M, backlog reaching ~$1.3B, 13 satellites now in orbit and production already extending through BlueBird 46.
With more than $3.7B of liquidity, financing the first phase looks much less risky while the bigger execution question is how quickly ~$610M of quarterly capex can turn satellites, launches, manufacturing and gateways into a functioning commercial network.
That spending is what eventually unlocks the model because AST is effectively building a cellular network before turning it on and if service launches on schedule then management’s path toward ~$1B of revenue in the first full year starts to look much more realistic..