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TheValueist
@TheValueist
Disc L/S | TMT+Energy. ISO convexity. Factor aware. Path independence matters. Results never lie. NFA. Student of mkts and cos. Creator: CRAVE Thesis of GAI.
参加 September 2024
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BERRI GAS PLANT (SAUDI ARAMCO), SAUDI ARABIA, NEW THERMAL HIT 26.96, 49.595 THE SITE Berri Gas Plant is a Saudi Aramco gas processing plant near Jubail in Saudi Arabia's Eastern Province, with 1.42 billion cubic feet a day of gas throughput, producing condensate, natural gas, and NGL. It sits in the dense Jubail industrial cluster, about 9 km east of the SATORP refinery, with the Juaymah crude oil terminal about 14 km north. THE DETECTION • One Aqua satellite detection on 10/31/26 at 8:00 AM EDT: 53.07 MW at 91% instrument confidence, 13.5 times the site's baseline median of 3.9 MW • The pixel sits 6.44 km from the plant's mapped position and also qualified against the Juaymah terminal and SATORP. It is attributed to Berri as the nearest of the three, which leaves plant-level attribution open CONFIDENCE • A real thermal event at the pixel location: HIGH, 85 to 92%. A 53.07 MW daytime detection at 91% instrument confidence • Event real at Berri Gas Plant specifically: LOW, 25 to 40%. The 6.44 km offset and the shared-pixel ambiguity across three adjacent facilities • Cause: no basis. No reporting of any incident at Berri or in Jubail today, and routine flaring is a standing feature of this cluster • Damage: no basis. Nothing in the reporting or the thermal record supports a damage claim CORROBORATION No news reports and no social media reporting of any incident at Berri or in the Jubail area today. Berri was reported hit on 08/09/26, background only. The Houthi claim statements of 10/29/26 and 10/30/26 named other Saudi targets, not Berri or Jubail. STATUS UNVERIFIED. A strong single pixel in a dense cluster with three candidate facilities and no corroboration. Attribution, cause, and damage all stay open.
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