SA estimated memory will take ~36% of Hyperscaler CapEx, driven by DRAM price increase.
More than double in 2026, and another double digit ASP increase in 2027.
What's driving it:
🟠 DRAM prices are expected to more than double in CY26, with another double-digit ASP increase in CY27
🟠 LPDDR5 contract pricing up over 3x since 1Q25. Price likely exceeds $10/GB in 1Q26 on the open market
🟠 HBM remains structurally undersupplied through CY27. AI-based servers already see significant % BOM costs from HBM, before price hikes
🟠 We know B200 server prices are going up 15–20% by year-end
Memory is a massive % of the $250B in incremental hyperscaler spend this calendar year. (2/4)